Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fiorenzuola vs Caldiero Terme - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B Stadio comunale, Fiorenzuola d'Arda
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Formato A.
85' Event
Petdji T.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B game between Fiorenzuola and Caldiero Terme finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Fiorenzuola
35%
Draws
51%
Caldiero Terme
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Caldiero Terme

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caldiero Terme come out ahead of Fiorenzuola on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Caldiero Terme taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Fiorenzuola Clean Sheet 15%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorenzuola Caldiero Terme
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 5 11
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.55 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Fiorenzuola vs Caldiero Terme
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorenzuola Compare

Top Goalscorer Formato A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Caldiero Terme Compare

Top Goalscorer Petdji T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorenzuola 19 / 100
Caldiero Terme 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorenzuola Caldiero Terme

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caldiero Terme Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldiero Terme has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Fiorenzuola has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Fiorenzuola scored in 41% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fiorenzuola VS Caldiero Terme
0.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorenzuola

(Home)
10 Oct
Fiorenzuola
0 : 0
Piacenza
04 Oct
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Fiorenzuola
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
16 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
Page 1 of 6

Caldiero Terme

(Away)
07 Oct
Este
0 : 2
Caldiero Terme
04 Oct
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Nibbiano & Valtidone
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Scanzorosciate
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chievo 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Nibbiano & Valtidone 6 5 0 1 7:2 15
3 Piacenza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
4 Pro Palazzolo 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
5 Ciserano-Bergamo 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
6 AC Leon 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Caldiero Terme 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
8 AC Milan U23 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
9 Brusaporto 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Real Calepina 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 Virtus Verona 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
12 Villa Valle 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Pavonese 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
14 Scanzorosciate 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
15 Club Milano 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
16 Rovato Vertovese 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
17 Fiorenzuola 7 0 3 4 1:7 3
18 Tritium 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)