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Fiorenzuola vs Ribelle

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 game between Fiorenzuola and Ribelle finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Fiorenzuola
35%
Draws
52%
Ribelle
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ribelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ribelle come out ahead of Fiorenzuola on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Fiorenzuola Clean Sheet 18%
Ribelle Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorenzuola Ribelle
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 5 13
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 0.58 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Fiorenzuola vs Ribelle
1:1
Oct 30, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Ribelle vs Fiorenzuola
1:1
May 3, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Ribelle vs Fiorenzuola
3:1
Dec 21, 2014 Serie D - Group D
Fiorenzuola vs Ribelle
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorenzuola 36 / 100
Ribelle 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorenzuola Ribelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ribelle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ribelle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Fiorenzuola found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (31 games).

Fiorenzuola went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fiorenzuola VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorenzuola

(Home)
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
16 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
13 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
06 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 3
Scanzorosciate
Page 1 of 7

Ribelle

(Away)
21 May
Adriese
3 : 1
Ribelle
07 May
Scandicci
1 : 1
Ribelle
30 Apr
Ribelle
3 : 3
Ravenna
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1
Ribelle
13 Apr
Ribelle
1 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ravenna 34 17 14 3 52:26 65
2 Imolese 34 18 9 7 60:35 63
3 Delta Porto Tolle 34 17 10 7 57:37 61
4 Lentigione 34 16 10 8 40:31 58
5 Correggese 34 16 8 10 58:48 56
6 Castelvetro 34 15 5 14 60:57 50
7 Scandicci 34 13 7 14 45:55 46
8 Pianese 34 12 10 12 46:48 46
9 Mezzolara 34 11 12 11 44:46 45
10 Rignanese 34 11 11 12 34:35 44
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 11 12 50:48 44
12 Fiorenzuola 34 12 7 15 39:45 43
13 Colligiana 34 10 13 11 46:47 43
14 Adriese 34 11 6 17 46:51 39
15 Ribelle 34 8 15 11 45:46 38
16 Sangiovannese 34 10 7 17 42:51 37
17 Virtus Castelfranco 34 8 9 17 25:41 33
18 Poggibonsi 34 6 4 24 24:66 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 (Play Offs)