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First Bank vs Akwa United

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First Bank play Akwa United in the NNL. Akwa United are favorites here. Recently, First Bank averaged 1 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Akwa United averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, First Bank won 0, Akwa United won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 1, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for First Bank and 1.06 for Akwa United. This points to a Akwa United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
First Bank
33%
Draws
40%
Akwa United
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Akwa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Akwa United has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to First Bank.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Akwa United.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NNL provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
First Bank Clean Sheet 22%
Akwa United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric First Bank Akwa United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 NNL
Akwa United vs First Bank
2:0
Dec 22, 2025 NNL
First Bank vs Akwa United
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

First Bank 29 / 100
Akwa United 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
First Bank Akwa United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

First Bank scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Akwa United let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

First Bank went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Akwa United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

First Bank VS Akwa United
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

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1Inter Lagos1685326:1329
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3Heartland FC1683521:1727
4Smart City1683521:1927
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7Crown FC1644818:1916
8Abia Comets1643916:3115
9Gateway United16331013:2412
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting Lagos18113431:1436
2Akwa United18112523:1335
3Ekiti United18100821:1730
4Stormers1882824:2626
5Abakaliki1874719:1725
6Solution1881918:2225
7Godswill Akpabio1866627:2424
8Rovers FC18711015:2122
9Osun United18621016:2420
10First Bank18431115:3115
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doma United1482418:1126
2Lobi1472512:1023
3Basira1463517:1421
4Kada Warriors1455411:920
5Sokoto United145369:1118
6ABS1452710:1617
7Mighty Jets1451814:1616
8City FC Abuja1444610:1416
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ranchers Bees1262411:920
2Adamawa Utd1260612:1118
3Jigawa Golden Stars1253412:1518
4Yobe Stars1252514:1317
5Kebbi1251611:1116
6Bichi First1243511:915
7Gombe124358:1115
8Sporting Supreme00000:00