Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021

Agrupacion Estudiantil

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fisterra play Agrupacion Estudiantil in the Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fisterra averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Agrupacion Estudiantil averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Fisterra won 0, Agrupacion Estudiantil won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 28, 2021 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Fisterra and 1.75 for Agrupacion Estudiantil. This points to a Agrupacion Estudiantil double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Fisterra

20%

Draws

45%

Agrupacion Estudiantil

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Agrupacion Estudiantil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Fisterra picked up more points recently compared to Agrupacion Estudiantil.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Fisterra Clean Sheet 12%

Agrupacion Estudiantil Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fisterra	Agrupacion Estudiantil
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	9
Draws	5	7
Losses	17	14
Goals Scored	1.03	1.4
Goals Conceded	1.6	1.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Fisterra vs Agrupacion Estudiantil

Possession: 44% - 59% Cards: 0 - 2

1:3

Dec 20, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

Agrupacion Estudiantil vs Fisterra

Possession: 58% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fisterra 34 / 100

Agrupacion Estudiantil 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fisterra Agrupacion Estudiantil

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Agrupacion Estudiantil or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fisterra attacking → ← attacking Agrupacion Estudiantil

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fisterra scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Agrupacion Estudiantil let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Fisterra went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Agrupacion Estudiantil lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 34

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bergantinos	22	14	6	2	37:16	48
2	Lugo B	22	12	6	4	34:17	42
3	Somozas	22	12	5	5	41:21	41
4	Racing Club Villalbes	22	12	4	6	34:26	40
5	Deportivo Fabril	22	9	5	8	41:27	32
6	Silva SD	22	7	9	6	21:20	30
7	Arzua	22	7	8	7	32:23	29
8	Viveiro	22	8	4	10	25:39	28
9	Agrupacion Estudiantil	22	4	8	10	27:45	20
10	CD AS Pontes	22	4	7	11	18:40	19
11	Fisterra	22	4	5	13	22:35	17
12	Paiosaco	22	1	9	12	16:39	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arenteiro	22	13	8	1	33:13	47
2	Arosa SC	22	11	8	3	27:14	41
3	Alondras	22	9	10	3	31:15	37
4	Estradense	22	8	7	7	35:34	31
5	CD Choco	22	8	7	7	28:22	31
6	Rapido de Bouzas	22	8	7	7	25:25	31
7	Barco	22	8	6	8	26:27	30
8	Ourense CF	22	8	4	10	33:29	28
9	Ribadumia	22	7	5	10	24:36	26
10	UD Ourense	22	7	4	11	25:32	25
11	Atios	22	4	8	10	18:32	20
12	Pontellas	22	1	6	15	12:38	9