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Fittja IF vs Smedby

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Pacha K.
10' Event
Salminen T.
19' Event
Onoseke-Longadi J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand game between Fittja IF and Smedby finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fittja IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fittja IF
30%
Draws
37%
Smedby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Smedby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Smedby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Svealand form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Fittja IF Clean Sheet 18%
Smedby Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fittja IF Smedby
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.79 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Fittja IF vs Smedby
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fittja IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Korkis G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pacha K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Smedby Compare

Top Goalscorer Rasmusson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olsson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fittja IF 31 / 100
Smedby 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fittja IF Smedby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fittja IF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Fittja IF scored in 79% of their last 24 outings.

Defensive concern: Smedby conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Fittja IF stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fittja IF VS Smedby
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fittja IF

(Home)
13 Sept
Fittja IF
1 : 2
Forward
06 Sept
Syrianska
0 : 0
Fittja IF
29 Aug
Fittja IF
0 : 1
Orebro Syrianska
23 Aug
Eker Orebro
0 : 2
Fittja IF
16 Aug
Fittja IF
1 : 0
Ragsved
Page 1 of 5

Smedby

(Away)
12 Sept
Farsta
3 : 0
Smedby
05 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 1
Smedby
29 Aug
Smedby
3 : 1
Forward
22 Aug
Syrianska
2 : 2
Smedby
15 Aug
Smedby
1 : 0
Eker Orebro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sleipner 21 13 4 4 47:32 43
2 Farsta 21 13 3 5 47:22 42
3 Nykopings 21 12 3 6 37:21 39
4 Forward 21 12 3 6 40:26 39
5 Haninge 21 11 3 7 49:38 36
6 Smedby 21 10 5 6 39:29 35
7 Ragsved 21 10 5 6 40:33 35
8 Fittja IF 21 9 3 9 34:34 30
9 Karlslund 21 6 6 9 28:35 24
10 Orebro Syrianska 21 7 2 12 22:25 23
11 Syrianska 21 5 5 11 30:48 20
12 Nacka FC 21 5 3 13 22:40 18
13 Lindo FF 21 5 2 14 27:41 17
14 Eker Orebro 21 4 3 14 22:60 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)