Sport Picks

Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Fittja IF

5 - 3

Smedby

Our Tip

Match Events

Pacha K.

10'

Salminen T.

19'

Onoseke-Longadi J.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand game between Fittja IF and Smedby finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fittja IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Fittja IF

22%

Draws

18%

Smedby

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Fittja IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Smedby carry the better recent record into this one.
60% — that's where the model lands on Fittja IF taking it.
Regular Division 2 - Södra Svealand form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

Fittja IF Clean Sheet 10%

Smedby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fittja IF	Smedby
Matches Played	17	32
Wins	8	15
Draws	3	6
Losses	6	11
Goals Scored	2.5	1.88
Goals Conceded	2.13	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Fittja IF vs Smedby

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 4 - 3

5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fittja IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Korkis G.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Pacha K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

Smedby Compare

Top Goalscorer Rasmusson A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Olsson J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fittja IF 56 / 100

Smedby 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fittja IF Smedby

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fittja IF scored in 88% of their last 17 games.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Smedby conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Fittja IF stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fittja IF VS Smedby

2.5 Goals Scored 1.88

2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nykopings	14	9	2	3	27:12	29
2	Forward	14	9	2	3	29:18	29
3	Haninge	14	9	1	4	36:26	28
4	Farsta	14	8	1	5	30:17	25
5	Sleipner	14	7	4	3	26:26	25
6	Smedby	14	7	2	5	29:21	23
7	Ragsved	14	6	4	4	30:23	22
8	Fittja IF	14	6	2	6	27:27	20
9	Orebro Syrianska	14	5	1	8	16:16	16
10	Lindo FF	14	5	1	8	21:23	16
11	Eker Orebro	14	4	2	8	17:36	14
12	Karlslund	14	3	4	7	15:23	13
13	Syrianska	14	3	3	8	20:35	12
14	Nacka FC	14	2	1	11	13:33	7