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Five Islands vs Old Road

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The ABFA Premier League 2019/2020 game between Five Islands and Old Road finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Old Road.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Five Islands
20%
Draws
29%
Old Road
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Five Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Old Road carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Old Road are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular ABFA Premier League 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Old Road have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Five Islands Clean Sheet 10%
Old Road Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Five Islands Old Road
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 1.3 3.38
Goals Conceded 3.1 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs Five Islands
3:0
Nov 25, 2024 ABFA Premier League
Five Islands vs Old Road
0:7
Mar 11, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Five Islands vs Old Road
0:5
Feb 2, 2020 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs Five Islands
3:0
Jan 4, 2020 ABFA Premier League
Five Islands vs Old Road
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Five Islands 10 / 100
Old Road 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Five Islands Old Road

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Old Road Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Five Islands scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Old Road's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Five Islands went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Old Road
0 Goals Scored 3.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Five Islands

(Home)
29 Mar
Attacking Saints
2 : 1
Five Islands
22 Mar
Garden Stars
1 : 2
Five Islands
01 Mar
Potters FC
1 : 1
Five Islands
15 Feb
Five Islands
4 : 2
Parham
09 Feb
All Saints United
5 : 0
Five Islands
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Old Road

(Away)
29 Apr
Old Road
0 : 3
Grenades
25 Apr
Old Road
14 : 0
Jennings Utd
04 Apr
Attacking Saints
3 : 3
Old Road
28 Mar
All Saints United
3 : 0
Old Road
22 Mar
Old Road
4 : 5
Aston Villa
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