Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fjardabyggd vs Hottur

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Stojkovic A.
23' Event
Helgason G.
28' Event
Stojkovic A.

AI Match Summary

Fjardabyggd in this Division 2 2018 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fjardabyggd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Fjardabyggd
15%
Draws
65%
Hottur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hottur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hottur lately — more wins on the board than Fjardabyggd.
  • Model gives Hottur a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Fjardabyggd Clean Sheet 14%
Hottur Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fjardabyggd Hottur
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0.94 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.69 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2018 Division 2
Fjardabyggd vs Hottur
4:3
May 18, 2018 Division 2
Hottur vs Fjardabyggd
1:1
Apr 13, 2018 Icelandic Cup
Hottur vs Fjardabyggd
1:0
Sep 16, 2017 Division 2
Hottur vs Fjardabyggd
1:1
Jul 4, 2017 Division 2
Fjardabyggd vs Hottur
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fjardabyggd Compare

Top Goalscorer Stojkovic A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pinera J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Hottur Compare

Top Goalscorer Helgason G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gudmundsson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fjardabyggd 10 / 100
Hottur 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fjardabyggd Hottur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hottur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hottur conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Fjardabyggd scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Solid form: Fjardabyggd remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fjardabyggd VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fjardabyggd

(Home)
18 Sept
Fjardabyggd
0 : 3
Leiknir Faskruds
11 Sept
Reynir
5 : 3
Fjardabyggd
04 Sept
Fjardabyggd
0 : 4
Fjallabyggd
28 Aug
Haukar
6 : 1
Fjardabyggd
22 Aug
Fjardabyggd
3 : 1
IR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 7

Hottur

(Away)
05 Jan
Hottur
2 : 0
Tindastoll
22 Sept
Hottur
1 : 3
Afturelding
15 Sept
Volsungur
2 : 3
Hottur
08 Sept
Hottur
2 : 0
Leiknir Faskruds
02 Sept
Kari
2 : 2
Hottur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 13 6 3 58:27 45
2 Grotta 22 14 3 5 54:28 45
3 Vestri 22 13 5 4 42:17 44
4 Volsungur 22 12 4 6 45:31 40
5 Kari 22 12 2 8 46:44 38
6 Throttur Vogar 22 9 6 7 36:31 33
7 Fjardabyggd 22 8 4 10 27:32 28
8 Tindastoll 22 7 3 12 28:53 24
9 Vidir 22 6 5 11 28:36 23
10 Leiknir Faskruds 22 5 7 10 31:36 22
11 Hottur 22 5 6 11 31:49 21
12 Huginn 22 1 3 18 13:55 6
Promotion - Inkasso-deildin 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Inkasso-deildin 2019 (Main)