Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fjora vs Bjarg Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Haugen Duesund A.
23' Event
Ahlander A.
83' Event
Mildestveit H.

AI Match Summary

Bjarg in this Division 3 - Group 4 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bjarg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Fjora
15%
Draws
57%
Bjarg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bjarg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Bjarg have won more games recently than Fjora.
  • Bjarg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bjarg have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40.8%
Fjora Clean Sheet 10%
Bjarg Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fjora Bjarg
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 19
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.77 2.13
Goals Conceded 3.17 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Fjora vs Bjarg
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Division 3 - Group 4
Fjora vs Bjarg
1:3
May 3, 2025 Division 3 - Group 4
Bjarg vs Fjora
6:1
Apr 13, 2025 NM Cup
Fjora vs Bjarg
1:3
Sep 11, 2021 Division 3 - Group 4
Bjarg vs Fjora
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fjora Compare

Top Goalscorer Haugen Duesund A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Bjarg Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahlander A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mildestveit H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fjora 10 / 100
Bjarg 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fjora Bjarg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bjarg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fjora found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Bjarg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Fjora remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fjora VS Bjarg
0 Goals Scored 1.63
8 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fjora

(Home)
21 Aug
Fjora
0 : 8
Sogndal
20 Feb
Fjora
1 : 0
Bjarg
26 Oct
Forde
3 : 1
Fjora
19 Oct
Fjora
3 : 1
Gneist IL
11 Oct
Loddefjord
7 : 3
Fjora
Page 1 of 6

Bjarg

(Away)
27 Sept
Eik-Tonsberg
0 : 2
Bjarg
20 Sept
Bjarg
6 : 1
Traeff
16 Sept
Bjarg
1 : 4
Bryne
12 Sept
Vidar
1 : 4
Bjarg
06 Sept
Bjarg
4 : 0
Arendal
Page 1 of 7