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Fjora vs Sogndal Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

NM Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Skaanes K.
Assist: Hovland E.
37' Event
Pippola T.
Assist: Skaanes K.
42' Event
Pippola T.
Assist: Stavo S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-8. This leg finished 0-8.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Fjora
15%
Draws
34%
Sogndal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fjora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sogndal at 1.9 per game, Fjora at 1.77.
  • Model gives Sogndal a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Sogndal, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sogndal have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Fjora Clean Sheet 10%
Sogndal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fjora Sogndal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.77 1.9
Goals Conceded 3.17 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 NM Cup
Fjora vs Sogndal
0:8
Jul 24, 2021 NM Cup
Fjora vs Sogndal
0:3
Apr 26, 2017 NM Cup
Fjora vs Sogndal
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fjora Compare

Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Sogndal Compare

Top Goalscorer Helen O.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Pippola T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fjora 18 / 100
Sogndal 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fjora Sogndal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sogndal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fjora scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Sogndal conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Sogndal registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fjora VS Sogndal
0 Goals Scored 2.38
8 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Fjora

(Home)
21 Aug
Fjora
0 : 8
Sogndal
20 Feb
Fjora
1 : 0
Bjarg
26 Oct
Forde
3 : 1
Fjora
19 Oct
Fjora
3 : 1
Gneist IL
11 Oct
Loddefjord
7 : 3
Fjora
Page 1 of 6

Sogndal

(Away)
20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1
Sogndal
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2
Sogndal
13 Sept
Sogndal
1 : 1
Strommen
05 Sept
Haugesund
2 : 0
Sogndal
30 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 3
Stromsgodset
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Baerum 4
Mjondalen 0
Aurskog/Finstadbru 0
Lillestrom 3
Froya 0
Sotra 6
Fjora 0
Sogndal 8
Tynset 0
Trygg/Lade 3
Midsund 0
Molde 11
Asker 7
Kvik Halden 0
Modum 0
Stromsgodset 6
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Vag 2
Egersund 5
Fana 1
Bjarg 3
Rosseland 0
Bryne 3
Volda 2
Brattvag 6
Tronder-Lyn 0
Kristiansund 5
Floro 2
Forde 4
Langevag 0
Aalesund 13
Froland 1
Arendal 5
Varhaug 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Stalkam 2
Rana FK 3
Fauske Sprint 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
Askoy 1
Sandviken 2
Arna-Bjornar 0
Asane 1
Rollon 0
Traeff 7
Spjelkavik 1
Hodd 2
Strindheim 0
Levanger 8
Steinkjer 0
Ranheim 6
Melhus 0
Stjordals Blink 3
Eidsvold IF 1
Fredrikstad 7
Madla IL 3
Vidar 2
Brodd 1
Viking 3
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Honefoss 4
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 4
Elverum 7
Ull/Kisa 6
Ridabu 0
Raufoss 4
Vindbjart 2
Flekkeroy 1
Flekkefjord 1
Start 2
Bossekop 1
Alta 2
Ulfstind 0
Tromso 5
Nord 0
Djerv 1919 4
V. Haugesund 3
Haugesund 4
Assiden 0
Notodden 4
Teie 0
Odds BK 10
Flint 2
Orn 0
Eidanger 0
Sandefjord 15
Uradd 0
Pors 3
Heming 0
Stabaek 2
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Eidsvold TF 7
Skreia 2
Kongsvinger 14
Harstad 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1
Lillehammer 2
Strommen 4
Gamle Oslo 6
Drobak-Frogn 1
Grei 0
Lyn 4
Floya 5
Junkeren 3
Nationalkameratene 0
Rosenborg 9
Frigg 0
Kjelsas 4
Trysil 0
Ham-Kam 5
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Grorud 5
Lorenskog 0
Moss 3
OS TF 2
Lysekloster 0
Fyllingen 0
Brann 4
Rade 1
Follo 2
Sparta Sarpsborg 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Nordstrand 1
Skeid 4
Christiania BK 2
Valerenga 7
1/32-finals
Baerum -
Lillestrom -
Sotra 1
Sogndal 2
Trygg/Lade 0
Molde 5
Asker 1
Stromsgodset 4
Jerv 1
Egersund 2
Bjarg 1
Bryne 4
Brattvag 1
Kristiansund 2
Forde 3
Aalesund 4
Arendal 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Rana FK -
Bodo/Glimt -
Sandviken 2
Asane 3
Traeff 0
Hodd 3
Levanger 0
Ranheim 2
Stjordals Blink 0
Fredrikstad 1
Madla IL -
Viking -
Honefoss 0
KFUM Oslo 2
Elverum 0
Raufoss 3
Vindbjart 2
Start 3
Alta 1
Tromso 2
Djerv 1919 0
Haugesund 4
Notodden 2
Odds BK 3
Flint 0
Sandefjord 1
Pors 2
Stabaek 1
Eidsvold TF 2
Kongsvinger 3
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9
Strommen 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Lyn 3
Floya 1
Rosenborg 4
Kjelsas 0
Ham-Kam 2
Grorud 2
Moss 1
OS TF 1
Brann 2
Follo 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Skeid 1
Valerenga 4
1/16-finals
TBD -
Sogndal -
Molde -
Stromsgodset -
Egersund -
Bryne -
Kristiansund -
Aalesund -
Sandnes Ulf -
TBD -
Asane -
Hodd -
Ranheim -
Fredrikstad -
TBD -
KFUM Oslo -
Raufoss -
Start -
Tromso -
Haugesund -
Odds BK -
Sandefjord -
Pors -
Kongsvinger -
Tromsdalen (TUIL) -
Lyn -
Rosenborg -
Ham-Kam -
Grorud -
Brann -
Sarpsborg 08 -
Valerenga -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -