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FK 1625 Liepaja vs Rezekne

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1. Liga 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK 1625 Liepaja play Rezekne in the 1. Liga 2014. FK 1625 Liepaja are favorites here. Recently, FK 1625 Liepaja averaged 3.07 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Rezekne averaged 1.73 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, FK 1625 Liepaja won 3, Rezekne won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 24, 2015 ended 7:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for FK 1625 Liepaja and 1.43 for Rezekne. This points to a FK 1625 Liepaja double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
FK 1625 Liepaja
15%
Draws
29%
Rezekne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK 1625 Liepaja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • FK 1625 Liepaja picked up more points recently compared to Rezekne.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
FK 1625 Liepaja Clean Sheet 17%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK 1625 Liepaja Rezekne
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 18 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 5 22
Goals Scored 3.07 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2015 Nakotnes liga
FK 1625 Liepaja vs Rezekne
7:0
Jun 20, 2015 Nakotnes liga
Rezekne vs FK 1625 Liepaja
3:2
Nov 8, 2014 Nakotnes liga
FK 1625 Liepaja vs Rezekne
6:1
Jul 26, 2014 Nakotnes liga
Rezekne vs FK 1625 Liepaja
4:2
Aug 31, 2013 Nakotnes liga
Rezekne vs FK 1625 Liepaja
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK 1625 Liepaja 54 / 100
Rezekne 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK 1625 Liepaja Rezekne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK 1625 Liepaja Win (1)
Secondary Pick FK 1625 Liepaja & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.30
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK 1625 Liepaja attacking → ← attacking Rezekne

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK 1625 Liepaja scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Rezekne let in goals in 83% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

FK 1625 Liepaja went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Rezekne lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 44
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Gulbene302730128:1184
2Rezekne302523118:2777
3Valmiera302226105:3468
4FK 1625 Liepaja30214587:3467
5RFS301848104:3958
6FK Auda Riga301811168:4255
7Tukums 2000301551088:5350
8Ogre301141560:5037
9Jekabpils SC301071350:7137
10Preilu BJSS301011960:9231
11AFA Olaine30861651:8130
12SFK United30781538:5629
13Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS30812137:8625
14FK Smiltene30591637:7724
15Salaspils FK30272124:8413
16Plavinas30022810:2282