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FK Alberts vs Jelgava Prediction & H2H Stats

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1. Liga 2005
FK Alberts Logo

FK Alberts

1 - 7
FT
Jelgava Logo

Jelgava

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jelgava in this 1. Liga 2005 matchup, with the score ending 1-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jelgava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FK Alberts
15%
Draws
85%
Jelgava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jelgava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Jelgava have won more games recently than FK Alberts.
  • Win probability leans Jelgava's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2005 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Jelgava here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FK Alberts Clean Sheet 17%
Jelgava Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Alberts Jelgava
Matches Played 31 41
Wins 5 12
Draws 2 10
Losses 24 19
Goals Scored 1.16 1.22
Goals Conceded 3.61 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2006 1. Liga
Jelgava vs FK Alberts
5:4
Jul 12, 2006 1. Liga
FK Alberts vs Jelgava
1:1
Oct 22, 2005 1. Liga
FK Alberts vs Jelgava
1:7
Jul 17, 2005 1. Liga
Jelgava vs FK Alberts
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Alberts 10 / 100
Jelgava 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Alberts Jelgava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jelgava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Jelgava conceded in 76% of 41 recent games.

FK Alberts scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Jelgava lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jelgava
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Alberts

(Home)
14 May
Speks
4 : 3
FK Alberts
16 May
Bauskas / Memele
4 : 0
FK Alberts
26 May
Kekava-Auda
5 : 1
FK Alberts
22 May
FK Alberts
1 : 4
LSPA
04 Jul
Caramba
2 : 0
FK Alberts
Page 1 of 7

Jelgava

(Away)
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
22 Aug
Ogre United
2 : 3
Jelgava
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skonto 2 26 20 5 1 81:18 65
2 Ventspils 2 26 15 7 4 98:25 52
3 Blazma 26 15 3 8 68:43 48
4 Liepajas Metalurgs 2 26 14 5 7 57:23 47
5 FC Daugava Daugavpils 26 14 5 7 59:28 47
6 Valmiera 26 9 8 9 37:39 35
7 JFC Skonto 26 8 11 7 44:31 35
8 FK Riga 2 26 10 5 11 33:41 35
9 FK Jurmala VV 2 26 9 7 10 48:48 34
10 Zibens Zemessardze 26 7 8 11 45:56 29
11 Jelgava 26 8 2 16 43:59 26
12 FK Auda Riga 26 8 2 16 27:46 26
13 FK Alberts 26 5 3 18 39:111 18
14 Ogre 26 3 3 20 30:141 12
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