Sport Picks

Lithuania

A Lyga 2011

FK Klaipeda

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Atmosfera play FK Klaipeda in the A Lyga 2011. FK Atmosfera are favorites here. Recently, FK Atmosfera averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. FK Klaipeda averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. In past meetings, FK Atmosfera won 4, FK Klaipeda won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 15, 2011 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for FK Atmosfera and 1.00 for FK Klaipeda. This points to a FK Atmosfera double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%

FK Atmosfera

15%

Draws

11%

FK Klaipeda

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Atmosfera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

FK Atmosfera picked up more points recently compared to FK Klaipeda.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

FK Atmosfera Clean Sheet 23%

FK Klaipeda Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Atmosfera	FK Klaipeda
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	18	2
Draws	5	3
Losses	9	25
Goals Scored	1.88	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.06	2.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2011 TOPLYGA

FK Klaipeda vs FK Atmosfera

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

0:2

Jul 30, 2011 TOPLYGA

FK Atmosfera vs FK Klaipeda

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

May 8, 2011 TOPLYGA

FK Klaipeda vs FK Atmosfera

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

2:4

Oct 3, 2010 TOPLYGA

FK Atmosfera vs FK Klaipeda

Possession: 40% - 49% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Aug 25, 2010 Lithuanian Cup

FK Atmosfera vs FK Klaipeda

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Atmosfera 71 / 100

FK Klaipeda 12 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Atmosfera FK Klaipeda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Atmosfera Win (1)

Secondary Pick FK Atmosfera & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.5%

1.52

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Atmosfera attacking → ← attacking FK Klaipeda

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Atmosfera scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

FK Klaipeda let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

FK Atmosfera went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FK Klaipeda lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 9

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ekranas	33	24	8	1	68:14	80
2	Zalgiris	33	22	6	5	56:17	72
3	Suduva	33	19	8	6	70:19	65
4	Siauliai	33	16	11	6	45:30	59
5	Kruoja	33	13	10	10	43:34	49
6	Banga	33	13	7	13	51:37	46
7	Tauras Taurage	33	11	12	10	50:38	45
8	Dainava Alytus	33	13	6	14	53:54	45
9	FK Atmosfera	33	9	9	15	36:54	36
10	FBK Kaunas	33	8	8	17	41:53	26
11	Atlantas	33	3	2	28	28:121	11
12	FK Klaipeda	33	2	3	28	19:89	9