Sport Picks
FK Atmosfera vs Hegelmann Litauen 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Lithuania
I Lyga 
Match Events
41'
41'
Gineitis D.
48'
48'
Adah J.
62'
62'
Veselinovic M.
AI Match Summary
The I Lyga game between FK Atmosfera and Hegelmann Litauen 2 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Atmosfera.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hegelmann Litauen 2
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and FK Atmosfera come out ahead of Hegelmann Litauen 2 on wins alone.
- 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
FK Atmosfera Clean Sheet 68%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Atmosfera | Hegelmann Litauen 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
4:1
Mar 15, 2026 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Atmosfera
0:3
Jul 27, 2025 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
2:2
Mar 16, 2025 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Atmosfera
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FK Atmosfera Compare
Top Goalscorer Gineitis D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Adah J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FK Atmosfera 41 / 100
Hegelmann Litauen 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FK Atmosfera Hegelmann Litauen 2
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FK Atmosfera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hegelmann Litauen 2 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
FK Atmosfera scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
FK Atmosfera has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
FK Atmosfera VS Hegelmann Litauen 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
FK Atmosfera
(Home) 10 Oct
Garliava
0 : 0 FK Atmosfera
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1 BFA Vilnius
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2 FK Atmosfera
05 Sept
FK Atmosfera
3 : 1 Tauras Taurage
29 Aug
Neptunas
3 : 1 FK Atmosfera
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1 BFA Vilnius
05 Sept
FK Atmosfera
3 : 1 Tauras Taurage
08 Aug
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1 Siauliai 2
25 Jul
FK Atmosfera
4 : 1 Hegelmann Litauen 2
01 Jul
FK Atmosfera
0 : 1 BE1 NFA
Page 1 of 4
Hegelmann Litauen 2
(Away) 10 Oct
Neptunas
0 : 1 Hegelmann Litauen 2
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1 Dainava Alytus
11 Sept
Transinvest 2
4 : 1 Hegelmann Litauen 2
04 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
5 : 1 Siauliai 2
29 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 0 Hegelmann Litauen 2
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Neptunas
0 : 1 Hegelmann Litauen 2
11 Sept
Transinvest 2
4 : 1 Hegelmann Litauen 2
29 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 0 Hegelmann Litauen 2
14 Aug
BE1 NFA
3 : 0 Hegelmann Litauen 2
25 Jul
FK Atmosfera
4 : 1 Hegelmann Litauen 2
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 25 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 68:13 | 67 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 45:11 | 64 |
| 3 | BE1 NFA | 25 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 46:26 | 51 |
| 4 | Zalgiris 2 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 40:33 | 46 |
| 5 | Neptunas | 26 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 33:31 | 44 |
| 6 | BFA Vilnius | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 40:37 | 43 |
| 7 | Tauras Taurage | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Dainava Alytus | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 37:27 | 41 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 37:33 | 31 |
| 10 | Garliava | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:28 | 29 |
| 11 | Jonava | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 28:35 | 27 |
| 12 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 26:46 | 23 |
| 13 | Transinvest 2 | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 30:59 | 22 |
| 14 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 27:59 | 22 |
| 15 | Siauliai 2 | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 30:59 | 18 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 26:59 | 15 |
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)
