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FK Atmosfera vs Jonava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Atmosfera host Jonava in the I Lyga. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: FK Atmosfera at 1.57 goals for, 1.39 against; Jonava at 0.97 for, 1.45 against. Head-to-head, FK Atmosfera have won 2 to Jonava's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 12, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.38, favoring FK Atmosfera. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FK Atmosfera
30%
Draws
31%
Jonava
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Atmosfera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Atmosfera lately — more wins on the board than Jonava.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FK Atmosfera Clean Sheet 17%
Jonava Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Atmosfera Jonava
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.57 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 I Lyga
Jonava vs FK Atmosfera
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 I Lyga
Jonava vs FK Atmosfera
0:2
Jun 17, 2025 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Jonava
0:1
May 22, 2024 Lithuanian Cup
Jonava vs FK Atmosfera
0:2
May 7, 2022 Lithuanian Cup
FK Atmosfera vs Jonava
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Atmosfera 30 / 100
Jonava 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Atmosfera Jonava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Atmosfera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Atmosfera found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Jonava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: FK Atmosfera stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Atmosfera VS Jonava
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Atmosfera

(Home)
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
BFA Vilnius
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2
FK Atmosfera
05 Sept
FK Atmosfera
3 : 1
Tauras Taurage
29 Aug
Neptunas
3 : 1
FK Atmosfera
22 Aug
Dainava Alytus
1 : 1
FK Atmosfera
Page 1 of 6

Jonava

(Away)
18 Sept
Jonava
2 : 3
Tauras Taurage
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0
Jonava
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
29 Aug
Transinvest 2
1 : 2
Jonava
21 Aug
Jonava
0 : 1
Siauliai 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 25 11 7 7 35:25 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Garliava 25 8 4 13 31:28 28
11 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 25 7 1 17 23:43 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)