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FK Atmosfera vs Zalgiris 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Seki K.
54' Event
Funami Y.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between FK Atmosfera and Zalgiris 2 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Atmosfera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
FK Atmosfera
30%
Draws
61%
Zalgiris 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Zalgiris 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Zalgiris 2 a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FK Atmosfera Clean Sheet 12%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Atmosfera Zalgiris 2
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.57 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Zalgiris 2
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Zalgiris 2
5:0
Apr 26, 2025 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs FK Atmosfera
2:1
Aug 27, 2022 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs FK Atmosfera
4:4
Apr 15, 2022 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Zalgiris 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Atmosfera Compare

Top Goalscorer Seki K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Funami Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Zalgiris 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Atmosfera 10 / 100
Zalgiris 2 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Atmosfera Zalgiris 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

FK Atmosfera scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Zalgiris 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

FK Atmosfera has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Atmosfera VS Zalgiris 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Atmosfera

(Home)
29 Aug
Neptunas
3 : 1
FK Atmosfera
22 Aug
Dainava Alytus
1 : 1
FK Atmosfera
14 Aug
Transinvest 2
2 : 0
FK Atmosfera
08 Aug
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
Siauliai 2
01 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 1
FK Atmosfera
Page 1 of 6

Zalgiris 2

(Away)
28 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
25 Aug
Zalgiris 2
4 : 3
Transinvest 2
14 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 4
Zalgiris 2
10 Aug
Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
01 Aug
Ekranas
1 : 1
Zalgiris 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Babrungas 22 17 4 1 38:7 55
2 FK Minija 21 18 1 2 55:12 55
3 Neptunas 22 13 2 7 30:27 41
4 BE1 NFA 21 13 2 6 38:24 41
5 Tauras Taurage 22 12 4 6 39:25 40
6 Zalgiris 2 22 11 4 7 36:31 37
7 Dainava Alytus 21 10 6 5 33:20 36
8 BFA Vilnius 22 11 3 8 33:31 36
9 FK Atmosfera 21 7 5 9 31:28 26
10 Jonava 22 7 5 10 26:28 26
11 Garliava 21 6 4 11 23:23 22
12 Hegelmann Litauen 2 22 6 1 15 24:50 19
13 Transinvest 2 22 5 3 14 24:52 18
14 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 21 5 1 15 18:34 16
15 Siauliai 2 22 3 5 14 20:47 14
16 Ekranas 22 3 2 17 21:50 11
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)