Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Auda Riga vs BFC Daugavpils

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Skonto stadions, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Mukwelle W.
37' Event
Lusweki H.
55'
Sub
Traore Y. In: Ibrahim H.
Out: Traore Y.

AI Match Summary

FK Auda Riga in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Auda Riga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
FK Auda Riga
35%
Draws
10%
BFC Daugavpils
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Auda Riga lately — more wins on the board than BFC Daugavpils.
  • 55% — that's where the model lands on FK Auda Riga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 19%
BFC Daugavpils Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Auda Riga BFC Daugavpils
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.68 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Latvian Cup
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda Riga
2:3
Jul 26, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs BFC Daugavpils
1:0
May 26, 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda Riga
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs BFC Daugavpils
2:3
Oct 5, 2025 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda Riga
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Auda Riga Compare

Top Goalscorer Lusweki H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

BFC Daugavpils Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Auda Riga 76 / 100
BFC Daugavpils 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Auda Riga BFC Daugavpils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Auda Riga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Auda Riga scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

FK Auda Riga has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

BFC Daugavpils let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

FK Auda Riga VS BFC Daugavpils
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Auda Riga

(Home)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
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BFC Daugavpils

(Away)
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)