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FK Auda Riga vs BFC Daugavpils

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Skonto stadions
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Auda Riga host BFC Daugavpils in the Virsliga. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. FK Auda Riga have averaged 1 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against BFC Daugavpils's 0.88 scored and 0.88 conceded. Past meetings favor BFC Daugavpils slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 26, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.94 - 0.81) back FK Auda Riga to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FK Auda Riga
40%
Draws
29%
BFC Daugavpils
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Auda Riga lately — more wins on the board than BFC Daugavpils.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 20%
BFC Daugavpils Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Auda Riga BFC Daugavpils
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda Riga
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs BFC Daugavpils
2:3
Oct 5, 2025 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda Riga
1:0
Jul 20, 2025 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs BFC Daugavpils
1:3
May 20, 2025 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs BFC Daugavpils
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Auda Riga 32 / 100
BFC Daugavpils 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Auda Riga BFC Daugavpils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Auda Riga scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

BFC Daugavpils has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: FK Auda Riga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Auda Riga VS BFC Daugavpils
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Riga FC23184168:2058
2RFS22182254:1656
3FK Auda Riga22124637:2640
4FK Liepaja22841028:3428
5BFC Daugavpils2276925:2927
6Jelgava2267924:3825
7Super Nova22731223:3524
8Grobina22481015:3320
9Tukums 200023381238:4717
10Ogre United22341521:5513