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FK Auda Riga vs Caramba

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Kozlovs I.
78' Event
Ulimbasevs D.
81' Event
Ziemelis V.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with FK Auda Riga advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
FK Auda Riga
15%
Draws
35%
Caramba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Auda Riga come out ahead of Caramba on wins alone.
  • Caramba are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • FK Auda Riga have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Auda Riga, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 20%
Caramba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Auda Riga Caramba
Matches Played 35 16
Wins 24 11
Draws 4 0
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.83 3.56
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2021 Latvian Cup
FK Auda Riga vs Caramba
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Auda Riga Compare

Top Goalscorer Ulimbasevs D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ziemelis V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Caramba Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozlovs I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Auda Riga 12 / 100
Caramba 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Auda Riga Caramba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caramba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Auda Riga found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (35 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

FK Auda Riga has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Caramba has conceded goals in 50% of their last 16 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Auda Riga VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Auda Riga

(Home)
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
25 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
FK Liepaja
21 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 0
Tukums 2000
Page 1 of 7

Caramba

(Away)
31 Jul
FK Auda Riga
3 : 1
Caramba
17 Jul
Caramba
11 : 0
Valka
04 Jul
Caramba
2 : 0
FK Alberts
04 Aug
Caramba
1 : 2
FK Karosta
13 Jul
Alberts JDFS
0 : 1
Caramba
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Kadaga/Ostas -
TBD -
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Preilu BJSS -
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FK Smiltene -
RTU 1
JFC Viola 2
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Riga United -
Sigulda -
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DSVK Traktors -
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
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Upesciems -
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AFA Olaine -
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Speks -
Jekabpils SC -
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Grobina -
Kalupe -
TBD -
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Kengaroos -
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Dinamo Riga -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
TBD -
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Fk Jurnieks Riga -
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
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SK Babite 3
Dobele Allegro 0
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Skanste -
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Gauja -
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Tente -
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RFS -
FK Metta -
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Marupe -
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Talsi -
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FK Auda Riga -
Caramba -
TBD -
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FK Alberts -
Lielupe -
TBD -
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Valka -
Riga FC -
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Kuivizu Spartaks -
TBD -
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FK Limbazi -
Aliance -
TBD -
TBD -
Bebri -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
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TBD -
Bauskas / Memele -
TBD -
TBD -
Livani -
Salaspils FK -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Super Nova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sports United/Cesis -
FK Varaklani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Madona Kvarcs -
TBD -
TBD -
Latgols / Ludza -
Albatroz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plavinas -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Karosta -
1/64-finals
Kadaga/Ostas 2
Preilu BJSS 1
TBD -
FK Smiltene -
JFC Viola 5
Riga United 0
Sigulda 4
DSVK Traktors 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
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Upesciems -
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AFA Olaine 0
Speks 2
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Kalupe 4
Kengaroos 5
TBD -
Dinamo Riga -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
TBD -
TBD -
Fk Jurnieks Riga -
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
SK Babite -
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Skanste 5
Gauja 1
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Tente -
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RFS -
FK Metta -
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Marupe 5
Talsi 3
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FK Auda Riga -
Caramba 2
FK Alberts 0
Lielupe 1
Valka 3
Riga FC -
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Kuivizu Spartaks 0
FK Limbazi 10
Aliance 4
Bebri 2
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
Bauskas / Memele 1
Livani 5
Salaspils FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Super Nova -
TBD -
TBD -
Sports United/Cesis -
FK Varaklani -
TBD -
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
Latgols / Ludza 3
Albatroz -
TBD -
Plavinas 0
FK Karosta 1
1/32-finals
Kadaga/Ostas 0
FK Smiltene 6
JFC Viola 5
Sigulda 2
TBD -
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
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Upesciems 2
Speks 4
Jekabpils SC 0
Grobina 2
Kengaroos 0
Dinamo Riga 2
Saldus SS/Leevon 2
Fk Jurnieks Riga 0
Alberts JDFS 1
SK Babite 0
Skanste 4
Tente 0
TBD -
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RFS -
FK Metta -
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Marupe 1
FK Auda Riga 4
Caramba 11
Valka 0
Riga FC -
TBD -
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TBD -
FK Limbazi 4
Aliance 0
Tukums 2000 4
Livani 0
Salaspils FK 0
Rezekne 7
Super Nova 6
Sports United/Cesis 0
FK Varaklani 0
Latgols / Ludza 5
Albatroz 5
FK Karosta 1
1/16-finals
FK Smiltene 2
JFC Viola 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Speks 4
Grobina 2
Dinamo Riga 9
Saldus SS/Leevon 0
Alberts JDFS 1
Skanste 2
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 3
Caramba 1
Riga FC -
TBD -
FK Limbazi 0
Tukums 2000 2
Rezekne 3
Super Nova 1
Latgols / Ludza 0
Albatroz 1
1/8-finals
FK Smiltene 0
FK Liepaja 3
Spartaks Jurmala 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
Valmiera -
TBD -
Speks 0
Dinamo Riga 2
Skanste 0
RFS 2
FK Metta 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Riga FC 3
Tukums 2000 1
Rezekne 0
Albatroz 3
Quarter-finals
FK Liepaja 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
Valmiera 5
Dinamo Riga 0
RFS 4
FK Auda Riga 0
Riga FC 3
Albatroz 0
Semi-finals
FK Liepaja 2
Valmiera 0
RFS 3
Riga FC 1
Final
FK Liepaja 0
RFS 1