Sport Picks
FK Auda Riga vs Grobina Prediction & H2H Stats
Latvia
Latvian Cup Skonto stadions, Riga 
Match Events
20'
20'
Minins J.
Assist: Kone K.
25'
25'
Diedhiou B.
Assist: Gerold J.
34'
34'
Traore Y.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FK Auda Riga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to FK Auda Riga lately — more wins on the board than Grobina.
- FK Auda Riga are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- FK Auda Riga have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor FK Auda Riga, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and FK Auda Riga have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 20%
Grobina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Auda Riga | Grobina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 5 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Grobina
1:0
Aug 17, 2026 Latvian Cup
FK Auda Riga vs Grobina
3:2
Jun 25, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs FK Auda Riga
0:0
May 7, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Grobina
7:0
Mar 14, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs FK Auda Riga
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FK Auda Riga Compare
Top Goalscorer Minins J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Diedhiou B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Grobina Compare
Top Goalscorer Dodo
1 Goals Assists Leader Corryn M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FK Auda Riga 76 / 100
Grobina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FK Auda Riga Grobina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FK Auda Riga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FK Auda Riga scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Grobina has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
FK Auda Riga has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
FK Auda Riga VS Grobina
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
FK Auda Riga
(Home) 20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1 RFS
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 Ogre United
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2 FK Auda Riga
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 Grobina
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1 RFS
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 Ogre United
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 Grobina
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1 Super Nova
25 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 4
Grobina
(Away) 20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1 Grobina
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0 Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1 Grobina
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1 Grobina
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 Grobina
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1 Grobina
17 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 2 Grobina
10 Aug
RFS
6 : 1 Grobina
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
RFK/RFS 0
Riga Mariners 11
Iecava 0
Alberts JDFS 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
LSPA 1
FK Smiltene 5
Valmiera 2
Skanste 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
JFC Viola 1
Marupe 2
Valka 1
Aliance 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Upesciema Warriors 0
JFK Ventspils 3
DSVK Traktors 3
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Lielupe 0
FK Metta 6
Kekava-Auda 2
Rezekne 1
Saldus NSS 0
Salaspils FK 4
Speks 6
FK Union / JFK Daugava 0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners 1
Alberts JDFS 0
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 1
Valmiera 4
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Marupe 4
Aliance 2
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
JFK Ventspils 1
Leevon PPK 3
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Metta 5
Kekava-Auda 0
Salaspils FK 1
Speks 3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners 3
BFC Daugavpils 4
Valmiera 2
Ogre United 4
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Liepaja 0
Marupe 0
Grobina 1
Tukums 2000 1
Super Nova 2
RFS 2
Jelgava 0
Leevon PPK 2
Riga FC 3
FK Metta 3
Speks 1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils 3
Ogre United 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Grobina 2
Super Nova 0
RFS 1
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 1
Semi-finals
BFC Daugavpils 2
FK Auda Riga 3
RFS 2
Riga FC 3
Final
FK Auda Riga -
Riga FC -
