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Stadium Background

FK Auda Riga vs Grobina

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup Skonto stadions, Riga
Mon, Aug 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Latvian Cup. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: FK Auda Riga at 1.72 goals for, 1.1 against; Grobina at 0.79 for, 1.72 against. Past meetings favor FK Auda Riga slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 25, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 0.75, favoring FK Auda Riga. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
FK Auda Riga
15%
Draws
18%
Grobina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Auda Riga lately — more wins on the board than Grobina.
  • FK Auda Riga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • FK Auda Riga have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Auda Riga, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 20%
Grobina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Auda Riga Grobina
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 6
Draws 4 9
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.72 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs FK Auda Riga
0:0
May 7, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Grobina
7:0
Mar 14, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs FK Auda Riga
0:2
Nov 9, 2025 Virsliga
Grobina vs FK Auda Riga
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Grobina
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Auda Riga 85 / 100
Grobina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Auda Riga Grobina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Auda Riga's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

FK Auda Riga went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Grobina has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

FK Auda Riga VS Grobina
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Auda Riga

(Home)
09 Aug
Jelgava
0 : 1
FK Auda Riga
04 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Dinamo City
30 Jul
FK Auda Riga
4 : 1
FCSB
26 Jul
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
23 Jul
FCSB
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 6

Grobina

(Away)
10 Aug
RFS
6 : 1
Grobina
02 Aug
Riga FC
4 : 0
Grobina
27 Jul
Grobina
2 : 2
Ogre United
20 Jul
Super Nova
2 : 0
Grobina
12 Jul
Marupe
0 : 1
Grobina
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
RFK/RFS 0
Riga Mariners 11
Iecava 0
Alberts JDFS 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
LSPA 1
FK Smiltene 5
Valmiera 2
Skanste 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
JFC Viola 1
Marupe 2
Valka 1
Aliance 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Upesciema Warriors 0
JFK Ventspils 3
DSVK Traktors 3
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Lielupe 0
FK Metta 6
Kekava-Auda 2
Rezekne 1
Saldus NSS 0
Salaspils FK 4
Speks 6
FK Union / JFK Daugava 0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners 1
Alberts JDFS 0
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 1
Valmiera 4
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Marupe 4
Aliance 2
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
JFK Ventspils 1
Leevon PPK 3
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Metta 5
Kekava-Auda 0
Salaspils FK 1
Speks 3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners 3
BFC Daugavpils 4
Valmiera 2
Ogre United 4
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Liepaja 0
Marupe 0
Grobina 1
Tukums 2000 1
Super Nova 2
RFS 2
Jelgava 0
Leevon PPK 2
Riga FC 3
FK Metta 3
Speks 1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
Grobina -
Super Nova -
RFS -
Riga FC -
FK Metta -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -