Sport Picks

Latvia

Virsliga Skonto stadions

FK Auda Riga

2 - 0

Ogre United

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Vergara J.

(Penalty)

18'

Vejkrigers D.

46'

Sub

Vejkrigers D. In: Sedols D.

Out: Vejkrigers D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Auda Riga in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Auda Riga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

FK Auda Riga

Draws

Ogre United

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Ogre United haven't matched FK Auda Riga's recent run of results.
Win probability leans FK Auda Riga's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%

FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 68%

Ogre United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Auda Riga	Ogre United
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	14	6
Draws	6	5
Losses	8	19
Goals Scored	1.25	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.75	2.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Virsliga

FK Auda Riga vs Ogre United

Possession: 58% - 40% Cards: 2 - 4

2:0

Apr 17, 2026 Virsliga

Ogre United vs FK Auda Riga

Possession: 53% - 46% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Auda Riga Compare

Top Goalscorer Gerold J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Ogre United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Auda Riga 95 / 100

Ogre United 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Auda Riga Ogre United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Auda Riga found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Ogre United let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

FK Auda Riga has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Auda Riga VS Ogre United

1.25 Goals Scored 1.13

0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5

75% Over 1.5 100%

25% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	RFS	22	18	2	2	54:16	56
2	Riga FC	22	17	4	1	65:19	55
3	FK Auda Riga	22	12	4	6	37:26	40
4	FK Liepaja	22	8	4	10	28:34	28
5	BFC Daugavpils	22	7	6	9	25:29	27
6	Jelgava	22	6	7	9	24:38	25
7	Super Nova	22	7	3	12	23:35	24
8	Grobina	22	4	8	10	15:33	20
9	Tukums 2000	22	3	8	11	37:44	17
10	Ogre United	22	3	4	15	21:55	13