Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Auda Riga vs Ogre United

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Skonto stadions, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Vergara J.
(Penalty)
18'
Vejkrigers D.
46'
Sub
Vejkrigers D. In: Sedols D.
Out: Vejkrigers D.

AI Match Summary

FK Auda Riga in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Auda Riga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
FK Auda Riga
30%
Draws
6%
Ogre United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ogre United haven't matched FK Auda Riga's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FK Auda Riga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FK Auda Riga here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 68%
Ogre United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Auda Riga Ogre United
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 20 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1.72 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Ogre United
1:0
May 30, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Ogre United
2:0
Apr 17, 2026 Virsliga
Ogre United vs FK Auda Riga
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Auda Riga Compare

Top Goalscorer Gerold J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ogre United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Auda Riga 95 / 100
Ogre United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Auda Riga Ogre United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Auda Riga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Auda Riga scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Ogre United let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

FK Auda Riga has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

FK Auda Riga VS Ogre United
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Auda Riga

(Home)
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
Page 1 of 7

Ogre United

(Away)
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Ogre United
2 : 2
FK Liepaja
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1
Ogre United
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
22 Aug
Ogre United
2 : 3
Jelgava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 29 23 4 2 70:21 73
2 Riga FC 30 21 7 2 85:30 70
3 FK Auda Riga 30 18 6 6 48:29 60
4 FK Liepaja 30 12 6 12 41:43 42
5 BFC Daugavpils 30 10 8 12 35:35 38
6 Super Nova 29 10 5 14 29:39 35
7 Jelgava 30 8 8 14 32:48 32
8 Grobina 30 5 10 15 20:51 25
9 Tukums 2000 30 5 8 17 43:60 23
10 Ogre United 30 3 6 21 29:76 15
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)