Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Auda Riga vs Ozolnieki

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2011/2012
Tue, Jun 14, 2011
6 - 2
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Auda Riga in this Latvian Cup 2011/2012 tie, finishing 6-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
FK Auda Riga
20%
Draws
28%
Ozolnieki
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Auda Riga lately — more wins on the board than Ozolnieki.
  • FK Auda Riga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • FK Auda Riga have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Auda Riga, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 20%
Ozolnieki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Auda Riga Ozolnieki
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 20 3
Draws 5 0
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.83 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2011 Latvian Cup
FK Auda Riga vs Ozolnieki
6:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Auda Riga 85 / 100
Ozolnieki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Auda Riga Ozolnieki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Auda Riga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Auda Riga found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Ozolnieki let in goals in 88% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

FK Auda Riga has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Auda Riga VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Auda Riga

(Home)
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
Page 1 of 6

Ozolnieki

(Away)
16 Jun
Ozolnieki
0 : 2
Grobina
17 Jul
Ozolnieki
0 : 3
Tukums 2000
07 Jul
Ozolnieki
4 : 1
Upesciems
14 Jun
FK Auda Riga
6 : 2
Ozolnieki
06 Jun
Ozolnieki
4 : 0
Mersrags
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zelis Gulbene -
TBD -
FK Dobele 0
Marupe 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ozolnieki 4
Mersrags 0
Sigulda 0
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Aluksne 2
Bebri 0
Austrumi 1
Upesciems 2
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gulbene -
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Avantis 3
FK Ergli 0
FK Olaine 0
Iecava 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina 1
Kekava 0
Aizkraukle 0
FK Smiltene 3
Brali 4
Jelgava/Jauniesi 3
Plavinas 3
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/64-finals
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zelis Gulbene 3
Marupe 1
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ozolnieki 2
FK Auda Riga 6
FK Aluksne 0
Upesciems 3
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gulbene -
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Avantis 0
Iecava 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
FK Smiltene -
Brali 1
FK Madona Kvarcs 6
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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FK Liepaja -
1/32-finals
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zelis Gulbene 0
RFS 12
FK Metta 3
BFC Daugavpils 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ozolnieki 4
Upesciems 1
FK Auda Riga 0
Tukums 2000 2
Valmiera 4
Ogre 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gulbene -
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala 5
Iecava 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina 0
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
FK 1625 Liepaja 2
Rezekne 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/16-finals
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
Ozolnieki 0
Tukums 2000 3
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
Gulbene -
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Madona Kvarcs -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/8-finals
Skonto 2
RFS 0
FK Metta 0
FC Jurmala 3
FK Daugava Riga 4
Tukums 2000 0
Valmiera 1
Gulbene 3
Jelgava 3
Olimps Riga 1
Spartaks Jurmala 1
Ventspils 2
FC Daugava Daugavpils 11
FK Madona Kvarcs 0
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
FK Liepaja 3
Quarter-finals
Skonto 1
FC Jurmala 0
FK Daugava Riga 1
Gulbene 3
Jelgava 2
Ventspils 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 0
FK Liepaja 1
Semi-finals
Skonto 1
Gulbene 0
Jelgava 1
FK Liepaja 4
Final
Skonto 2
FK Liepaja 1