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FK Auda Riga vs RFS Prediction & H2H Stats

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Skonto stadions, Riga
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Match Events

4'
Balodis D.
20'
Sub
Daskevics E. In: Fofana W.
Out: Daskevics E.
21' Event
Kone K.
Assist: Bongemba E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
FK Auda Riga
35%
Draws
27%
RFS
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • RFS have won more games recently than FK Auda Riga.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on FK Auda Riga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 13%
RFS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Auda Riga RFS
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 20 23
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.7 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.12 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs RFS
1:1
Jul 4, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs FK Auda Riga
1:1
May 17, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs RFS
0:3
Apr 4, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs FK Auda Riga
0:1
Sep 17, 2025 Latvian Cup
RFS vs FK Auda Riga
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Auda Riga Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndjiki R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Auda Riga 40 / 100
RFS 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Auda Riga RFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Auda Riga scored in 88% of their last 33 outings.

Solid form: FK Auda Riga remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

RFS has conceded goals in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Auda Riga VS RFS
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Auda Riga

(Home)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
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RFS

(Away)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)