Sport Picks
FK Auda Riga vs Super Nova
Latvia
Virsliga Skonto stadions, Riga 
AI Match Summary
FK Auda Riga host Super Nova in the Virsliga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. FK Auda Riga have averaged 1.72 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Super Nova's 1.04 scored and 1.46 conceded. Head-to-head, FK Auda Riga have won 5 to Super Nova's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.19 - 0.88) back FK Auda Riga to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- FK Auda Riga have won more games recently than Super Nova.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors FK Auda Riga here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Auda Riga | Super Nova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 19 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FK Auda Riga's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Super Nova conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: FK Auda Riga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FK Auda Riga
(Home)Super Nova
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 62:17 | 65 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 25 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 76:21 | 64 |
| 3 | FK Auda Riga | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 39:26 | 46 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 5 | FK Liepaja | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 33:37 | 34 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 26:37 | 27 |
| 7 | Jelgava | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:44 | 25 |
| 8 | Grobina | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 18:47 | 21 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 40:51 | 20 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 24:65 | 14 |
