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FK Auda Riga vs Super Nova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Skonto stadions, Riga
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Match Events

4'
Ndiaye I.
18' Event
Appiah A.
Assist: Rubenis O.
38'
Ndiaye I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
FK Auda Riga
20%
Draws
17%
Super Nova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • FK Auda Riga have won more games recently than Super Nova.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on FK Auda Riga taking it.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FK Auda Riga here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 20%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Auda Riga Super Nova
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.53 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Super Nova
1:1
Jun 21, 2026 Virsliga
Super Nova vs FK Auda Riga
0:2
May 1, 2026 Virsliga
Super Nova vs FK Auda Riga
1:2
Mar 8, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Super Nova
2:1
Sep 22, 2025 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Super Nova
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Auda Riga Compare

Top Goalscorer Appiah A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Super Nova Compare

Top Goalscorer Lizunovs V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Auda Riga 85 / 100
Super Nova 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Auda Riga Super Nova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Auda Riga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Auda Riga's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: FK Auda Riga remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Super Nova has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

FK Auda Riga VS Super Nova
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Auda Riga

(Home)
12 Oct
FK Liepaja
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
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Super Nova

(Away)
18 Oct
Riga FC
2 : 1
Super Nova
15 Oct
RFS
4 : 0
Super Nova
10 Oct
Super Nova
2 : 1
Grobina
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0
Super Nova
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 32 25 5 2 79:24 80
2 Riga FC 32 23 7 2 88:30 76
3 FK Auda Riga 32 19 7 6 52:32 64
4 FK Liepaja 32 12 7 13 43:46 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 32 11 9 12 37:36 42
6 Super Nova 32 11 5 16 31:45 38
7 Jelgava 32 8 8 16 34:53 32
8 Grobina 33 6 11 16 25:56 29
9 Tukums 2000 32 5 9 18 44:63 24
10 Ogre United 33 4 6 23 33:81 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)