Sport Picks
Match Events
47'
47'
Borja P.
52'
52'
Agyemang E.
78'
78'
Baguzas E.
AI Match Summary
FK Babrungas in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Babrungas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: BFA Vilnius
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to FK Babrungas lately — more wins on the board than BFA Vilnius.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 19%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Babrungas | BFA Vilnius |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 21 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.72 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs FK Babrungas
2:1
May 1, 2026 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs BFA Vilnius
4:0
Apr 28, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
BFA Vilnius vs FK Babrungas
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs BFA Vilnius
3:1
May 31, 2025 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs FK Babrungas
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FK Babrungas Compare
Top Goalscorer Borja P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Agyemang E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
BFA Vilnius Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FK Babrungas 32 / 100
BFA Vilnius 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FK Babrungas BFA Vilnius
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FK Babrungas scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
BFA Vilnius has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
FK Babrungas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
FK Babrungas VS BFA Vilnius
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FK Babrungas
(Home) 04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1 FK Babrungas
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
21 Aug
FK Babrungas
1 : 1 Tauras Taurage
15 Aug
Neptunas
0 : 4 FK Babrungas
08 Aug
Dainava Alytus
2 : 1 FK Babrungas
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
FK Babrungas
1 : 1 Tauras Taurage
25 Jul
FK Babrungas
2 : 0 Ekranas
24 Jun
FK Babrungas
0 : 0 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Jun
FK Babrungas
1 : 0 BE1 NFA
29 May
FK Babrungas
1 : 0 FK Minija
Page 1 of 3
BFA Vilnius
(Away) 04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1 FK Babrungas
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2 BFA Vilnius
22 Aug
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0 Neptunas
15 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 0 BFA Vilnius
08 Aug
BFA Vilnius
4 : 2 Transinvest 2
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2 BFA Vilnius
15 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 0 BFA Vilnius
02 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 0 BFA Vilnius
19 Jul
Ekranas
1 : 4 BFA Vilnius
28 Jun
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0 : 1 BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 22 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 58:12 | 58 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 39:9 | 55 |
| 3 | BE1 NFA | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 39:24 | 44 |
| 4 | Neptunas | 23 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 5 | Tauras Taurage | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 40:28 | 40 |
| 6 | Zalgiris 2 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 37:31 | 40 |
| 7 | BFA Vilnius | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 35:32 | 39 |
| 8 | Dainava Alytus | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 33:20 | 37 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:29 | 29 |
| 10 | Jonava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 26:28 | 27 |
| 11 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 29:51 | 22 |
| 12 | Garliava | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 23:24 | 22 |
| 13 | Transinvest 2 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 24:55 | 18 |
| 14 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 18:35 | 16 |
| 15 | Ekranas | 23 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 22:50 | 14 |
| 16 | Siauliai 2 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 21:52 | 14 |
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)
