Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Babrungas vs BFA Vilnius

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Borja P.
52' Event
Agyemang E.
78' Event
Baguzas E.

AI Match Summary

FK Babrungas in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Babrungas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FK Babrungas
6%
Draws
4%
BFA Vilnius
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Babrungas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Babrungas has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to BFA Vilnius.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for FK Babrungas.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in I Lyga provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 68%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Babrungas BFA Vilnius
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs BFA Vilnius
4:0
Apr 28, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
BFA Vilnius vs FK Babrungas
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs BFA Vilnius
3:1
May 31, 2025 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs FK Babrungas
3:2
Aug 23, 2024 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs BFA Vilnius
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Babrungas Compare

Top Goalscorer Borja P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agyemang E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

BFA Vilnius Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Babrungas 95 / 100
BFA Vilnius 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Babrungas BFA Vilnius

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Babrungas scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

BFA Vilnius let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

FK Babrungas went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

BFA Vilnius lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Babrungas VS BFA Vilnius
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Minija15131139:940
2FK Babrungas15123026:439
3BE1 NFA15102328:1532
4Neptunas1591520:1728
5Tauras Taurage1591527:1628
6Dainava Alytus1583426:1527
7Garliava1564522:1422
8BFA Vilnius1571718:2422
9FK Atmosfera1563623:1721
10Zalgiris 21553721:2518
11Jonava1545618:2017
12Transinvest 21542913:3614
13Hegelmann Litauen 215411016:3213
14Ekranas15211215:297
15FK Kauno Zalgiris 21521127:247
16Siauliai 215141013:357