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FK Babrungas vs Dainava Alytus

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Babrungas play Dainava Alytus in the I Lyga. It looks like a close match. Recently, FK Babrungas averaged 1.9 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Dainava Alytus averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, FK Babrungas won 2, Dainava Alytus won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for FK Babrungas and 1.06 for Dainava Alytus. This points to a FK Babrungas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
FK Babrungas
15%
Draws
33%
Dainava Alytus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Babrungas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • FK Babrungas picked up more points recently compared to Dainava Alytus.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 22%
Dainava Alytus Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Babrungas Dainava Alytus
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.9 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Dainava Alytus
3:1
Sep 17, 2022 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Dainava Alytus
2:1
May 22, 2022 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs FK Babrungas
3:2
Aug 20, 2006 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Dainava Alytus
0:7
May 14, 2006 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs FK Babrungas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Babrungas Compare

Top Goalscorer Borja P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Angulo B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dainava Alytus Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellah C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Babrungas 51 / 100
Dainava Alytus 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Babrungas Dainava Alytus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FK Babrungas or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Babrungas attacking → ← attacking Dainava Alytus

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Babrungas scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Dainava Alytus let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

FK Babrungas went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Dainava Alytus lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 40
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FK Minija15131139:940
2FK Babrungas15123026:439
3BE1 NFA15102328:1532
4Neptunas1591520:1728
5Tauras Taurage1591527:1628
6Dainava Alytus1583426:1527
7Garliava1564522:1422
8BFA Vilnius1571718:2422
9FK Atmosfera1563623:1721
10Zalgiris 21553721:2518
11Jonava1545618:2017
12Transinvest 21542913:3614
13Hegelmann Litauen 215411016:3213
14Ekranas15211215:297
15FK Kauno Zalgiris 21521127:247
16Siauliai 215141013:357