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Stadium Background

FK Babrungas vs FK Atmosfera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Adah J.
22' Event
Borja P.
35' Event
Angulo B.

AI Match Summary

FK Babrungas in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Babrungas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
FK Babrungas
20%
Draws
24%
FK Atmosfera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Babrungas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Babrungas have won more games recently than FK Atmosfera.
  • Model gives FK Babrungas a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 20%
FK Atmosfera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Babrungas FK Atmosfera
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 21 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs FK Atmosfera
3:2
May 9, 2026 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs FK Babrungas
1:1
Sep 19, 2025 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs FK Atmosfera
3:0
May 17, 2025 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs FK Babrungas
1:1
Nov 8, 2024 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs FK Atmosfera
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Babrungas Compare

Top Goalscorer Angulo B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Borja P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

FK Atmosfera Compare

Top Goalscorer Adah J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seki K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Babrungas 67 / 100
FK Atmosfera 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Babrungas FK Atmosfera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Babrungas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Babrungas scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

FK Atmosfera has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: FK Babrungas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Babrungas VS FK Atmosfera
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Babrungas

(Home)
10 Oct
FK Babrungas
2 : 0
Jonava
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2
FK Atmosfera
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
Page 1 of 6

FK Atmosfera

(Away)
10 Oct
Garliava
0 : 0
FK Atmosfera
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
BFA Vilnius
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2
FK Atmosfera
05 Sept
FK Atmosfera
3 : 1
Tauras Taurage
29 Aug
Neptunas
3 : 1
FK Atmosfera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 26 20 4 2 45:11 64
3 BE1 NFA 25 16 3 6 46:26 51
4 Zalgiris 2 26 14 4 8 40:33 46
5 Neptunas 26 14 2 10 33:31 44
6 BFA Vilnius 26 13 4 9 40:37 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 26 11 8 7 37:27 41
9 FK Atmosfera 25 8 7 10 37:33 31
10 Garliava 26 8 5 13 31:28 29
11 Jonava 26 7 6 13 28:35 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 26 7 2 17 26:46 23
13 Transinvest 2 26 6 4 16 30:59 22
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 26 7 1 18 27:59 22
15 Siauliai 2 26 4 6 16 30:59 18
16 Ekranas 26 4 3 19 26:59 15
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)