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Stadium Background

FK Babrungas vs FK Minija - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga Gargzdu arena, Gargzdai
Wed, Nov 11, 2026
2 - 1
04:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

119' Event
120' Event
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
FK Babrungas
20%
Draws
28%
FK Minija
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Babrungas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Minija's 2.43 goals per match outpaces what FK Babrungas have produced (1.77).
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on FK Babrungas taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Babrungas, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors FK Babrungas here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 68%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Babrungas FK Minija
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 22
Draws 5 2
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.77 2.43
Goals Conceded 0.57 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2026 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs FK Minija
2:1
Oct 17, 2026 I Lyga
FK Minija vs FK Babrungas
2:3
May 29, 2026 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs FK Minija
1:0
Jul 22, 2025 I Lyga
FK Minija vs FK Babrungas
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs FK Minija
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Babrungas 95 / 100
FK Minija 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Babrungas FK Minija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Babrungas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Babrungas scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: FK Babrungas remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

FK Minija has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FK Babrungas VS FK Minija
2 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Babrungas

(Home)
11 Nov
FK Babrungas
2 : 1
FK Minija
07 Nov
FK Babrungas
4 : 1
Siauliai 2
30 Oct
BE1 NFA
1 : 1
FK Babrungas
25 Oct
FK Babrungas
4 : 0
Hegelmann Litauen 2
17 Oct
FK Minija
2 : 3
FK Babrungas
Page 1 of 6

FK Minija

(Away)
11 Nov
FK Babrungas
2 : 1
FK Minija
07 Nov
FK Minija
2 : 0
Garliava
04 Nov
Tauras Taurage
3 : 3
FK Minija
31 Oct
FK Minija
3 : 1
FK Atmosfera
24 Oct
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Minija
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
FK Babrungas 2
FK Minija 1