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FK Babrungas vs Hegelmann Litauen 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2025 Plungės dirbtinės dangos stadionas - Artificial grass
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Match Events

4' Event
Martimiano R.
10'
Sinkevicius R.
17'
Cepkauskas L.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga 2025 game between FK Babrungas and Hegelmann Litauen 2 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Babrungas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FK Babrungas
6%
Draws
4%
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Babrungas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Babrungas come out ahead of Hegelmann Litauen 2 on wins alone.
  • FK Babrungas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FK Babrungas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 68%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Babrungas Hegelmann Litauen 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Babrungas
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
4:1
Jun 17, 2025 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Babrungas
4:2
Oct 26, 2024 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
2:1
Jun 8, 2024 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Babrungas
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Babrungas Compare

Top Goalscorer Borja P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martimiano R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hegelmann Litauen 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouteba M. R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Babrungas 95 / 100
Hegelmann Litauen 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Babrungas Hegelmann Litauen 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Babrungas scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Hegelmann Litauen 2 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

FK Babrungas has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Babrungas VS Hegelmann Litauen 2
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Transinvest30261387:2279
2Neptunas30214568:2767
3Tauras Taurage30188456:2262
4FK Babrungas30177664:4358
5BFA Vilnius30167747:3655
6FK Atmosfera301461052:3448
7Zalgiris 2301191050:4842
8Jonava301191026:2542
9FK Minija301131627:4636
10Hegelmann Litauen 230871535:5131
11BE1 NFA30861635:5130
12Ekranas30921937:5829
13FK Kauno Zalgiris 230831943:5727
14Siauliai 230822041:7126
15Nevezis Kedainiai30751832:5826
16FK Panevezys 230632130:8121