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FK Babrungas vs Jonava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Babrungas host Jonava in the I Lyga. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. FK Babrungas have averaged 1.9 scored and 0.73 conceded recently, against Jonava's 0.97 scored and 1.45 conceded. Past meetings favor FK Babrungas slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 22, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 0.76) point toward FK Babrungas. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
FK Babrungas
20%
Draws
23%
Jonava
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Babrungas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Babrungas have won more games recently than Jonava.
  • Model gives FK Babrungas a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 68%
Jonava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Babrungas Jonava
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 22 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.9 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 I Lyga
Jonava vs FK Babrungas
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Jonava
1:2
Apr 18, 2025 I Lyga
Jonava vs FK Babrungas
1:2
Oct 13, 2023 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Jonava
2:1
May 27, 2023 I Lyga
Jonava vs FK Babrungas
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Babrungas 77 / 100
Jonava 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Babrungas Jonava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Babrungas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Babrungas's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Jonava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: FK Babrungas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Babrungas VS Jonava
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Babrungas

(Home)
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2
FK Atmosfera
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
21 Aug
FK Babrungas
1 : 1
Tauras Taurage
Page 1 of 6

Jonava

(Away)
18 Sept
Jonava
2 : 3
Tauras Taurage
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0
Jonava
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
29 Aug
Transinvest 2
1 : 2
Jonava
21 Aug
Jonava
0 : 1
Siauliai 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 25 11 7 7 35:25 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Garliava 25 8 4 13 31:28 28
11 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 25 7 1 17 23:43 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)