Sport Picks

Lithuania

I Lyga 2025 Plungės dirbtinės dangos stadionas - Artificial grass

Siauliai 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Babrungas play Siauliai 2 in the I Lyga 2025. FK Babrungas are favorites here. Recently, FK Babrungas averaged 1.97 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. Siauliai 2 averaged 1.39 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, FK Babrungas won 4, Siauliai 2 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for FK Babrungas and 0.75 for Siauliai 2. This points to a FK Babrungas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%

FK Babrungas

15%

Draws

23%

Siauliai 2

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Babrungas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

FK Babrungas picked up more points recently compared to Siauliai 2.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 27%

Siauliai 2 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Babrungas	Siauliai 2
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	20	8
Draws	6	5
Losses	5	18
Goals Scored	1.97	1.39
Goals Conceded	0.84	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 I Lyga

Siauliai 2 vs FK Babrungas

Possession: 47% - 48% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Nov 9, 2025 I Lyga

FK Babrungas vs Siauliai 2

Possession: 43% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

1:5

Jun 27, 2025 I Lyga

Siauliai 2 vs FK Babrungas

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 0 - 4

0:1

Aug 16, 2024 I Lyga

Siauliai 2 vs FK Babrungas

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 0 - 0

0:2

Mar 22, 2024 I Lyga

FK Babrungas vs Siauliai 2

Possession: 55% - 60% Cards: 1 - 2

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Babrungas Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Bahia

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Siauliai 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Petravicius J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Vaitiekaitis U.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Babrungas 61 / 100

Siauliai 2 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Babrungas Siauliai 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Babrungas Win (1)

Secondary Pick FK Babrungas & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Babrungas attacking → ← attacking Siauliai 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Babrungas scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Siauliai 2 let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

FK Babrungas went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Siauliai 2 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

66 Points in last 5 29

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Transinvest	30	26	1	3	87:22	79
2	Neptunas	30	21	4	5	68:27	67
3	Tauras Taurage	30	18	8	4	56:22	62
4	FK Babrungas	30	17	7	6	64:43	58
5	BFA Vilnius	30	16	7	7	47:36	55
6	FK Atmosfera	30	14	6	10	52:34	48
7	Zalgiris 2	30	11	9	10	50:48	42
8	Jonava	30	11	9	10	26:25	42
9	FK Minija	30	11	3	16	27:46	36
10	Hegelmann Litauen 2	30	8	7	15	35:51	31
11	BE1 NFA	30	8	6	16	35:51	30
12	Ekranas	30	9	2	19	37:58	29
13	FK Kauno Zalgiris 2	30	8	3	19	43:57	27
14	Siauliai 2	30	8	2	20	41:71	26
15	Nevezis Kedainiai	30	7	5	18	32:58	26
16	FK Panevezys 2	30	6	3	21	30:81	21