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FK Baranovici vs Krumkachy Prediction & H2H Stats

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Pershaya Liga 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Artyukh M.
30' Event
Krasnov A.
45' Event
Yatskevich A.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga 2021 game between FK Baranovici and Krumkachy finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Krumkachy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
FK Baranovici
20%
Draws
34%
Krumkachy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Baranovici

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Krumkachy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Krumkachy here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FK Baranovici Clean Sheet 15%
Krumkachy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Baranovici Krumkachy
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 11 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.26 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2021 Pershaya Liga
FK Baranovici vs Krumkachy
2:3
Jul 24, 2021 Pershaya Liga
FK Baranovici vs Krumkachy
3:1
May 5, 2021 Pershaya Liga
Krumkachy vs FK Baranovici
4:3
Oct 5, 2019 Pershaya Liga
FK Baranovici vs Krumkachy
0:4
Jun 2, 2019 Pershaya Liga
Krumkachy vs FK Baranovici
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Baranovici Compare

Top Goalscorer Artyukh M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Krumkachy Compare

Top Goalscorer Krasnov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yatskevich A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Baranovici 30 / 100
Krumkachy 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Baranovici Krumkachy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Baranovici Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

FK Baranovici found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (34 games).

Krumkachy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

FK Baranovici went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Baranovici VS Krumkachy
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Baranovici

(Home)
20 Sept
FK Baranovici
0 : 2
FC Gomel
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0
FK Baranovici
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
29 Aug
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
FK Baranovici
23 Aug
FK Baranovici
1 : 1
Dynamo Brest
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Krumkachy

(Away)
19 Jul
Krumkachy
0 : 5
Dynamo Brest
28 May
Stanles Pinsk
1 : 4
Krumkachy
12 Jul
Krumkachy
1 : 2
Naftan
22 May
Bobovnya
1 : 2
Krumkachy
14 Jul
Krumkachy
0 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 33 20 8 5 59:22 68
2 Belshina 33 19 6 8 69:42 63
3 Krumkachy 33 17 9 7 58:31 60
4 Volna Pinsk 33 16 8 9 49:39 56
5 Dnepr Mogilev 33 15 10 8 58:38 55
6 Lokomotiv Gomel 33 15 9 9 56:39 54
7 Petrikov 33 13 7 13 50:56 46
8 Naftan 33 11 11 11 44:46 44
9 Orsha 33 9 7 17 41:60 34
10 FK Baranovici 33 7 7 19 38:72 28
11 FK Lida 33 4 9 20 33:75 21
12 FC Slonim 33 3 7 23 27:62 16
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