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FK Baranovici vs Naftan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Lokomotiv Stadium, Baranovichi
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Baranovici host Naftan in the Vysshaya Liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: FK Baranovici at 1.11 goals for, 1.61 against; Naftan at 1.11 for, 2.25 against. Head-to-head, FK Baranovici have won 0 to Naftan's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 19, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.13, favoring FK Baranovici. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FK Baranovici
20%
Draws
40%
Naftan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Naftan haven't matched FK Baranovici's recent run of results.
  • FK Baranovici are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Naftan have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FK Baranovici Clean Sheet 20%
Naftan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Baranovici Naftan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.11 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs FK Baranovici
1:0
Nov 12, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Naftan vs FK Baranovici
2:1
Jul 24, 2022 Pershaya Liga
FK Baranovici vs Naftan
0:4
Sep 19, 2021 Pershaya Liga
Naftan vs FK Baranovici
5:1
Jul 4, 2021 Pershaya Liga
FK Baranovici vs Naftan
1:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Baranovici 36 / 100
Naftan 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Baranovici Naftan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Naftan conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

FK Baranovici scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: FK Baranovici remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Baranovici VS Naftan
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Baranovici

(Home)
10 Oct
Neman
3 : 0
FK Baranovici
20 Sept
FK Baranovici
0 : 2
FC Gomel
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0
FK Baranovici
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
29 Aug
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
FK Baranovici
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Naftan

(Away)
10 Oct
Naftan
4 : 1
Belshina
19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1
Naftan
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2
Naftan
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3
FC Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1
Naftan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ML Vitebsk 23 14 8 1 49:18 50
2 Din. Minsk 23 15 4 4 43:19 49
3 Isloch Minsk 23 13 7 3 37:18 46
4 Neman 24 13 4 7 31:20 43
5 Dynamo Brest 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
6 FC Gomel 24 11 6 7 34:23 39
7 Vitebsk 24 10 7 7 28:21 37
8 FC Minsk 24 10 4 10 30:29 34
9 Zhodino 24 8 6 10 29:31 30
10 Slavia Mozyr 24 6 7 11 25:31 25
11 FK Baranovici 24 6 7 11 24:41 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 24 5 8 11 24:42 23
13 BATE 24 4 9 11 18:30 21
14 Belshina 23 5 6 12 23:40 21
15 Naftan 24 4 5 15 24:55 17
16 Dnepr Mogilev 24 2 10 12 22:39 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)