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FK Baranovici vs Vitebsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Lokomotiv Stadium, Baranovichi
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Baranovici host Vitebsk in the Vysshaya Liga. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. FK Baranovici have averaged 1.18 scored and 1.61 conceded recently, against Vitebsk's 1.52 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Vitebsk slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.50, favoring Vitebsk. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
FK Baranovici
30%
Draws
33%
Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Baranovici

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitebsk lately — more wins on the board than FK Baranovici.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FK Baranovici Clean Sheet 16%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Baranovici Vitebsk
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.18 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.61 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs FK Baranovici
2:3
Sep 24, 2023 Pershaya Liga
FK Baranovici vs Vitebsk
0:4
May 20, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Vitebsk vs FK Baranovici
0:1
Aug 29, 2020 Belarusian Cup
FK Baranovici vs Vitebsk
0:6
Nov 6, 2005 Pershaya Liga
Vitebsk vs FK Baranovici
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Baranovici 31 / 100
Vitebsk 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Baranovici Vitebsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

FK Baranovici found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Vitebsk has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

FK Baranovici has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Baranovici VS Vitebsk
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Baranovici

(Home)
20 Sept
FK Baranovici
0 : 2
FC Gomel
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0
FK Baranovici
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
29 Aug
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
FK Baranovici
23 Aug
FK Baranovici
1 : 1
Dynamo Brest
Page 1 of 6

Vitebsk

(Away)
03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0
Vitebsk
20 Sept
Vitebsk
6 : 0
Zhodino
12 Sept
Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
04 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0
Vitebsk
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0
Naftan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 23 12 4 7 38:23 40
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
9 Zhodino 22 7 6 9 28:29 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 24:41 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)