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FK Beograd vs Adelaide Utd U23

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Frank Mitchell Park
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Tatu A.
74' Event
Tatu A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL South Australia game between FK Beograd and Adelaide Utd U23 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adelaide Utd U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
FK Beograd
11%
Draws
9%
Adelaide Utd U23
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FK Beograd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Beograd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FK Beograd's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FK Beograd Clean Sheet 20%
Adelaide Utd U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Beograd Adelaide Utd U23
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Utd U23 vs FK Beograd
0:1
Aug 24, 2025 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Adelaide Utd U23
1:2
Jun 14, 2025 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Adelaide Utd U23
3:1
Mar 13, 2025 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Utd U23 vs FK Beograd
2:1
Aug 3, 2024 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Utd U23 vs FK Beograd
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Beograd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Adelaide Utd U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tatu A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Beograd 76 / 100
Adelaide Utd U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Beograd Adelaide Utd U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Beograd's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Adelaide Utd U23 let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: FK Beograd stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Beograd VS Adelaide Utd U23
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1MetroStars18114348:1937
2West Torrens Birkalla18113445:2636
3Adelaide City18106235:1636
4FK Beograd1893631:2130
5Playford Patriots1885536:2629
6Croydon1884640:3228
7Adelaide Utd U231867524:2425
8Sturt Lions FC18711030:3022
9Campbelltown City1864828:2922
10West Adelaide1847733:3419
11Adelaide Comets18341119:3513
12Para1802169:862