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FK Beograd vs Adelaide Utd U23

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Frank Mitchell Park, Adelaide
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Tatu A.
74' Event
Tatu A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL South Australia game between FK Beograd and Adelaide Utd U23 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adelaide Utd U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
FK Beograd
15%
Draws
59%
Adelaide Utd U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adelaide Utd U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Beograd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Adelaide Utd U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FK Beograd Clean Sheet 20%
Adelaide Utd U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Beograd Adelaide Utd U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 3 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.73 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Adelaide Utd U23
0:2
Mar 6, 2026 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Utd U23 vs FK Beograd
0:1
Aug 24, 2025 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Adelaide Utd U23
1:2
Jun 14, 2025 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Adelaide Utd U23
3:1
Mar 13, 2025 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Utd U23 vs FK Beograd
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Beograd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Adelaide Utd U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tatu A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Beograd 10 / 100
Adelaide Utd U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Beograd Adelaide Utd U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adelaide Utd U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Beograd's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Adelaide Utd U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: FK Beograd stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Beograd VS Adelaide Utd U23
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Beograd

(Home)
22 Aug
Playford Patriots
3 : 0
FK Beograd
15 Aug
FK Beograd
0 : 3
Adelaide City
07 Aug
Campbelltown City
2 : 0
FK Beograd
01 Aug
FK Beograd
4 : 3
Croydon
25 Jul
Adelaide Comets
1 : 0
FK Beograd
Page 1 of 6

Adelaide Utd U23

(Away)
15 Aug
West Torrens Birkalla
2 : 1
Adelaide Utd U23
08 Aug
Adelaide Utd U23
5 : 2
Para
01 Aug
MetroStars
1 : 1
Adelaide Utd U23
25 Jul
Adelaide Utd U23
2 : 3
Sturt Lions FC
19 Jul
FK Beograd
0 : 2
Adelaide Utd U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide City 22 14 6 2 44:16 48
2 West Torrens Birkalla 22 14 3 5 54:29 45
3 MetroStars 22 13 5 4 53:23 44
4 Playford Patriots 22 10 5 7 42:31 35
5 FK Beograd 22 10 3 9 35:30 33
6 Croydon 22 8 6 8 46:41 30
7 Adelaide Utd U23 22 7 8 7 33:32 29
8 Campbelltown City 22 8 5 9 35:36 29
9 Sturt Lions FC 22 8 3 11 35:36 27
10 West Adelaide 22 6 7 9 40:44 25
11 Adelaide Comets 22 5 5 12 25:38 20
12 Para 22 0 2 20 16:102 2
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)