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FK Cetinje vs Arsenal Tivat

Montenegro Montenegro

Druga Liga 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Cetinje play Arsenal Tivat in the Druga Liga 2021/2022. Arsenal Tivat are favorites here. Recently, FK Cetinje averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.53 conceded. Arsenal Tivat averaged 1.12 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, FK Cetinje won 0, Arsenal Tivat won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 20, 2022 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for FK Cetinje and 1.05 for Arsenal Tivat. This points to a Arsenal Tivat double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
FK Cetinje
15%
Draws
66%
Arsenal Tivat
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arsenal Tivat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Cetinje picked up more points recently compared to Arsenal Tivat.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
FK Cetinje Clean Sheet 22%
Arsenal Tivat Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Cetinje Arsenal Tivat
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 14
Draws 2 5
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 0.8 1.12
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.47

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2022 Druga Liga
FK Cetinje vs Arsenal Tivat
1:3
Apr 3, 2022 Druga Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs FK Cetinje
3:1
Nov 21, 2021 Druga Liga
FK Cetinje vs Arsenal Tivat
0:1
Oct 3, 2021 Druga Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs FK Cetinje
2:0
May 13, 2015 Druga Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs FK Cetinje
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Cetinje Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Arsenal Tivat Compare

Top Goalscorer Manojlovic C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pepic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Cetinje 22 / 100
Arsenal Tivat 62 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Cetinje Arsenal Tivat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal Tivat Win (2)
Secondary Pick Arsenal Tivat & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Cetinje attacking → ← attacking Arsenal Tivat

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Cetinje scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Arsenal Tivat let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

FK Cetinje went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Arsenal Tivat lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 47
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jedinstvo36239462:1578
2Arsenal Tivat362110560:3273
3Mladost DG361711851:3662
4Bokelj361613745:2161
5Kom Podgorica361871154:4261
6Igalo361381549:3947
7Berane361261835:5542
8Grbalj366121833:5630
9OFK Titograd36652526:6223
10FK Cetinje36632726:8321