Sport Picks

Latvia

Virslīga 2014

FK Liepaja

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Daugava Riga play FK Liepaja in the Virslīga 2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, FK Daugava Riga averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.92 conceded. FK Liepaja averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, FK Daugava Riga won 2, FK Liepaja won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 20, 2014 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for FK Daugava Riga and 1.30 for FK Liepaja. This points to a FK Liepaja double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

FK Daugava Riga

17%

Draws

42%

FK Liepaja

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: FK Liepaja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

FK Daugava Riga picked up more points recently compared to FK Liepaja.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.30 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

FK Daugava Riga Clean Sheet 19%

FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Daugava Riga	FK Liepaja
Matches Played	24	30
Wins	9	12
Draws	3	5
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1.42	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.92	1.47

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2014 Virsliga

FK Daugava Riga vs FK Liepaja

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

2:4

Aug 9, 2014 Virsliga

FK Liepaja vs FK Daugava Riga

Possession: 54% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Jun 15, 2014 Virsliga

FK Daugava Riga vs FK Liepaja

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

4:0

Apr 20, 2014 Virsliga

FK Liepaja vs FK Daugava Riga

Possession: 54% - 42% Cards: 4 - 0

1:0

Sep 16, 2013 Virsliga

FK Daugava Riga vs FK Liepaja

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 1 - 0

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Daugava Riga Compare

Top Goalscorer Flora V.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Savenas M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

FK Liepaja Compare

Top Goalscorer Ikaunieks J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Torres C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Daugava Riga 41 / 100

FK Liepaja 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Daugava Riga FK Liepaja

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FK Liepaja or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Daugava Riga attacking → ← attacking FK Liepaja

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Daugava Riga scored in 74% of their last 23 games.

FK Liepaja let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

FK Daugava Riga went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

FK Liepaja lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 41

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ventspils	36	26	5	5	75:20	83
2	Skonto	36	25	1	10	77:34	71
3	Jelgava	36	20	10	6	57:27	70
4	FK Liepaja	36	21	3	12	72:45	66
5	FC Daugava Daugavpils	36	19	8	9	53:39	65
6	Spartaks Jurmala	36	14	9	13	38:32	51
7	FK Daugava Riga	36	13	4	19	48:64	43
8	BFC Daugavpils	36	8	5	23	30:65	29
9	FK Metta	36	3	7	26	26:69	16
10	FC Jurmala	36	2	6	28	29:110	7