Sport Picks
FK Daugava Riga vs Skonto Prediction & H2H Stats
Latvia
Virslīga 2014 
Match Events
30'
30'
Jermolajevs E.
42'
42'
Osipovs A.
78'
78'
Savenas M.
AI Match Summary
Skonto in this Virslīga 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skonto.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Skonto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Skonto lately — more wins on the board than FK Daugava Riga.
- Model gives FK Daugava Riga a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Virslīga 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Skonto have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FK Daugava Riga Clean Sheet 10%
Skonto Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Daugava Riga | Skonto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 33 |
| Wins | 9 | 20 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 3.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.92 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 2.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 19, 2015 League Cup
Skonto vs FK Daugava Riga
0:0
Nov 8, 2014 Virsliga
Skonto vs FK Daugava Riga
4:1
Aug 22, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs Skonto
1:2
Jun 25, 2014 Virsliga
Skonto vs FK Daugava Riga
5:1
May 6, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs Skonto
1:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FK Daugava Riga Compare
Top Goalscorer Regza A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Skonto Compare
Top Goalscorer Jermolajevs E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Osipovs A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.49
Avg xA / game 1.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FK Daugava Riga 34 / 100
Skonto 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FK Daugava Riga Skonto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.20 goals.
FK Daugava Riga's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 23 recent games.
Defensive concern: Skonto conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.
Away concern: Skonto has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Skonto
0 Goals Scored 4.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
FK Daugava Riga
(Home) 04 Apr
Jelgava
: FK Daugava Riga
08 Nov
Skonto
4 : 1 FK Daugava Riga
01 Nov
FK Daugava Riga
1 : 3 Jelgava
26 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
1 : 0 FK Daugava Riga
20 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
2 : 4 FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 5
01 Nov
FK Daugava Riga
1 : 3 Jelgava
20 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
2 : 4 FK Liepaja
28 Sept
FK Daugava Riga
1 : 4 FC Daugava Daugavpils
24 Sept
FK Daugava Riga
0 : 3 Ventspils
19 Sept
FK Daugava Riga
3 : 1 FC Jurmala
Page 1 of 3
Skonto
(Away) 05 Nov
Skonto
0 : 3 AFA Olaine
29 Oct
Skonto
5 : 1 Preilu BJSS
22 Oct
FK Auda Riga
3 : 2 Skonto
16 Oct
SK Babite
4 : 3 Skonto
28 Sept
Skonto
3 : 2 RTU
Page 1 of 7
22 Oct
FK Auda Riga
3 : 2 Skonto
16 Oct
SK Babite
4 : 3 Skonto
24 Sept
Alberts JDFS
2 : 0 Skonto
10 Sept
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS
3 : 5 Skonto
28 Aug
Jekabpils SC
1 : 8 Skonto
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ventspils | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 75:20 | 83 |
| 2 | Skonto | 36 | 25 | 1 | 10 | 77:34 | 71 |
| 3 | Jelgava | 36 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 57:27 | 70 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 36 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 72:45 | 66 |
| 5 | FC Daugava Daugavpils | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 53:39 | 65 |
| 6 | Spartaks Jurmala | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 38:32 | 51 |
| 7 | FK Daugava Riga | 36 | 13 | 4 | 19 | 48:64 | 43 |
| 8 | BFC Daugavpils | 36 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 29 |
| 9 | FK Metta | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26:69 | 16 |
| 10 | FC Jurmala | 36 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 29:110 | 7 |
Relegation - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
