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FK Dobele vs Bebri

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2016/2017 Daugavas stadions, Riga
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-6, with Bebri advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
FK Dobele
15%
Draws
28%
Bebri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Dobele

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bebri come out ahead of FK Dobele on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Bebri arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bebri, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FK Dobele Clean Sheet 20%
Bebri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Dobele Bebri
Matches Played 8 32
Wins 3 7
Draws 0 4
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.88 3.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2016 Latvian Cup
FK Dobele vs Bebri
2:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Dobele 32 / 100
Bebri 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Dobele Bebri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bebri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bebri conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

FK Dobele scored in 63% of their last 8 games.

Away concern: Bebri has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bebri
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 3.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Dobele

(Home)
02 Jul
FK Dobele
2 : 6
Bebri
05 Jun
FK Limbazi
2 : 3
FK Dobele
13 Jul
Alberts JDFS
8 : 1
FK Dobele
08 Jun
FK Dobele
1 : 0
FK Alberts
08 Jun
FK Dobele
0 : 2
Caramba
Page 1 of 2

Bebri

(Away)
19 May
Upesciema Warriors
3 : 1
Bebri
04 May
Bebri
3 : 2
JFC Viola
27 May
Sports United/Cesis
4 : 1
Bebri
22 May
Beitar
4 : 1
Bebri
04 Jul
Aliance
4 : 2
Bebri
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuldigas NSS 3
FK Salacgriva 0
TBD -
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Caramba -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
DSVK Traktors -
TBD -
TBD -
Mersrags -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 3
Upesciems 1
TBD -
Saldus -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Babite -
Ogre -
TBD -
TBD -
Preilu BJSS -
Aliance -
TBD -
Salaspils FK 0
SK Cesis 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
TBD -
Alberts JDFS -
Dinamo Riga 1
Ludzas SK 0
TBD -
Jekabpils SC -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
JFC Dobele -
Fortuna / Ogre -
TBD -
Grobina 3
Kraslava 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
Plavinas 1
Nica FC 2
Igate/Tami-Tami 4
Riga United 1
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Bebri -
TBD -
FK Limbazi 2
FK Dobele 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lielupe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
1/32-finals
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuldigas NSS 6
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS 0
FK Smiltene 1
Rezekne 2
Caramba 6
FK Alberts 0
DSVK Traktors 2
Mersrags 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze -
Saldus -
Valmiera 0
SK Babite 6
Ogre 1
Preilu BJSS 0
Aliance 1
SK Cesis 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFA Olaine 3
Alberts JDFS 0
Dinamo Riga 0
Jekabpils SC 2
Skonto 17
JFC Dobele 0
Fortuna / Ogre 0
Kraslava 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 3
Nica FC 1
Igate/Tami-Tami 0
Tukums 2000 6
Bebri 6
FK Dobele 2
TBD -
Lielupe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
1/16-finals
Ventspils -
TBD -
Kuldigas NSS 1
Rezekne 16
Caramba 8
Mersrags 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Metta -
TBD -
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 0
SK Babite 3
Ogre 4
SK Cesis 0
TBD -
RFS -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
AFA Olaine 1
Jekabpils SC 2
Skonto 5
Kraslava 0
TBD -
Jelgava -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 2
Tukums 2000 4
Bebri 8
Lielupe 1
TBD -
Riga FC -
1/8-finals
Ventspils 2
Rezekne 0
Caramba 2
FK Liepaja 5
FK Metta 2
SK Babite 0
Ogre 0
RFS 7
Spartaks Jurmala 10
Jekabpils SC 0
Skonto 0
Jelgava 2
BFC Daugavpils 1
Tukums 2000 0
Bebri 0
Riga FC 4
Quarter-finals
Ventspils 3
FK Liepaja 0
FK Metta 0
RFS 1
Spartaks Jurmala 1
Jelgava 0
BFC Daugavpils 0
Riga FC 3
Semi-finals
Ventspils 2
RFS 1
Spartaks Jurmala 1
Riga FC 4
Final
Ventspils 3
Riga FC 2