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Stadium Background

FK Frydek-Mistek vs Nove Mesto na Morave

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. MSFL 2025/2026 Stadion Stovky
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Nemec D.
35' Event
Usman I.
41'
Duda P.

AI Match Summary

The 3. MSFL 2025/2026 game between FK Frydek-Mistek and Nove Mesto na Morave finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FK Frydek-Mistek
30%
Draws
34%
Nove Mesto na Morave
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Frydek-Mistek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Frydek-Mistek carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FK Frydek-Mistek's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FK Frydek-Mistek Clean Sheet 20%
Nove Mesto na Morave Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Frydek-Mistek Nove Mesto na Morave
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.5 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 3. MSFL
FK Frydek-Mistek vs Nove Mesto na Morave
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 3. MSFL
Nove Mesto na Morave vs FK Frydek-Mistek
4:1
Mar 19, 2023 3. MSFL
Nove Mesto na Morave vs FK Frydek-Mistek
0:1
Aug 20, 2022 3. MSFL
FK Frydek-Mistek vs Nove Mesto na Morave
3:1
May 28, 2022 3. MSFL
FK Frydek-Mistek vs Nove Mesto na Morave
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Frydek-Mistek Compare

Top Goalscorer Nemec D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nove Mesto na Morave Compare

Top Goalscorer Usman I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Frydek-Mistek 36 / 100
Nove Mesto na Morave 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Frydek-Mistek Nove Mesto na Morave

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Frydek-Mistek's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Nove Mesto na Morave's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: FK Frydek-Mistek remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Frydek-Mistek VS Nove Mesto na Morave
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trinec34237475:2776
2Hodonin34217677:3970
3Unicov341810655:4164
4Brno B342041070:4764
5Sigma Olomouc B341951071:3362
6FK Frydek-Mistek341611754:3959
7Nove Mesto na Morave341671164:5155
8Hlubina341391253:4948
9Vsetin341361552:5445
10Vitkovice341271551:5643
11Zlin B3411101357:6443
12Slovacko B349111449:5938
13Polanka nad Odrou34981737:6235
14FK Blansko341032147:7933
15Karvina B34881840:6032
16SK Hranice34791838:6130
17Hlucin34772041:7328
18TJ Start Brno344111932:6923