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FK Humenne vs FK Pohronie

Slovakia Slovakia

Slovak Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Humenne play FK Pohronie in the Slovak Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, FK Humenne averaged 3.36 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. FK Pohronie averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, FK Humenne won 4, FK Pohronie won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 23, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.69 for FK Humenne and 1.25 for FK Pohronie. This points to a FK Humenne double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
FK Humenne
24%
Draws
27%
FK Pohronie
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: FK Humenne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • FK Humenne picked up more points recently compared to FK Pohronie.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.69 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
FK Humenne Clean Sheet 19%
FK Pohronie Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Humenne FK Pohronie
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 20 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 3.36 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 4.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2025 Slovak Cup
FK Humenne vs FK Pohronie
2:0
May 2, 2025 2. liga
FK Pohronie vs FK Humenne
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 2. liga
FK Humenne vs FK Pohronie
1:0
Mar 1, 2024 2. liga
FK Pohronie vs FK Humenne
1:2
Aug 12, 2023 2. liga
FK Humenne vs FK Pohronie
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Humenne Compare

Top Goalscorer Matsyakh K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Streno E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.56
Avg xA / game 2.31

FK Pohronie Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Humenne 48 / 100
FK Pohronie 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Humenne FK Pohronie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FK Humenne or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Humenne attacking → ← attacking FK Pohronie

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Humenne scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

FK Pohronie let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

FK Humenne went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FK Pohronie lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 48
4.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75