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FK Ilukste vs BFC Daugavpils

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2012
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. Liga 2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FK Ilukste
20%
Draws
80%
BFC Daugavpils
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BFC Daugavpils

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BFC Daugavpils lately — more wins on the board than FK Ilukste.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on BFC Daugavpils taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
FK Ilukste Clean Sheet 20%
BFC Daugavpils Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Ilukste BFC Daugavpils
Matches Played 32 39
Wins 4 18
Draws 6 11
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.85
Goals Conceded 3.25 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2012 1. Liga
FK Ilukste vs BFC Daugavpils
1:1
Apr 29, 2012 1. Liga
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Ilukste
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Ilukste 10 / 100
BFC Daugavpils 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Ilukste BFC Daugavpils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFC Daugavpils Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Ilukste's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

BFC Daugavpils's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 39 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: BFC Daugavpils registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS BFC Daugavpils
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Ilukste

(Home)
09 Nov
FK Ilukste
2 : 10
FK Liepaja
02 Nov
FC Daugava Daugavpils
6 : 1
FK Ilukste
27 Oct
FK Ilukste
0 : 5
Ventspils
21 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
7 : 1
FK Ilukste
14 Oct
FK Ilukste
1 : 7
Ventspils
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BFC Daugavpils

(Away)
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
22 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liepajas Metalurgs 2 25 21 4 0 92:20 67
2 FK Ilukste 26 18 3 5 87:38 57
3 Skonto 2 26 17 5 4 56:32 56
4 BFC Daugavpils 26 15 7 4 49:20 52
5 RFS 26 16 3 7 62:33 51
6 Ventspils 2 26 15 3 8 57:37 48
7 FK 1625 Liepaja 26 11 7 8 47:45 40
8 Valmiera 26 8 3 15 39:53 27
9 Spartaks Jurmala 2 26 7 5 14 48:71 26
10 Rezekne 25 8 1 16 49:57 25
11 FK Metta 2 26 7 3 16 33:52 24
12 FK Auda Riga 26 6 3 17 36:51 21
13 Tukums 2000 26 4 1 21 28:116 13
14 Jelgava 2 26 3 2 21 29:87 11
Promotion - Virslīga 2013 (Main)
Promotion - Virslīga 2012 (Relegation)