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FK Ilukste vs Valmiera Prediction & H2H Stats

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1. Liga 2012
FK Ilukste Logo

FK Ilukste

3 - 0
FT
Valmiera Logo

Valmiera

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Ilukste in this 1. Liga 2012 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Ilukste.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FK Ilukste
15%
Draws
85%
Valmiera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Valmiera have won more games recently than FK Ilukste.
  • Win probability leans Valmiera's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
FK Ilukste Clean Sheet 14%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Ilukste Valmiera
Matches Played 32 38
Wins 4 24
Draws 6 5
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 1.31 2.42
Goals Conceded 3.25 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2012 1. Liga
FK Ilukste vs Valmiera
3:0
Jul 28, 2012 1. Liga
Valmiera vs FK Ilukste
1:2
Sep 15, 2007 1. Liga
FK Ilukste vs Valmiera
0:3
Jun 30, 2007 1. Liga
Valmiera vs FK Ilukste
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Ilukste 10 / 100
Valmiera 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Ilukste Valmiera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

FK Ilukste's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Valmiera conceded in 71% of 38 recent games.

Valmiera's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Valmiera
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Ilukste

(Home)
09 Nov
FK Ilukste
2 : 10
FK Liepaja
02 Nov
FC Daugava Daugavpils
6 : 1
FK Ilukste
27 Oct
FK Ilukste
0 : 5
Ventspils
21 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
7 : 1
FK Ilukste
14 Oct
FK Ilukste
1 : 7
Ventspils
Page 1 of 7

Valmiera

(Away)
19 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 4
Riga Mariners
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liepajas Metalurgs 2 25 21 4 0 92:20 67
2 FK Ilukste 26 18 3 5 87:38 57
3 Skonto 2 26 17 5 4 56:32 56
4 BFC Daugavpils 26 15 7 4 49:20 52
5 RFS 26 16 3 7 62:33 51
6 Ventspils 2 26 15 3 8 57:37 48
7 FK 1625 Liepaja 26 11 7 8 47:45 40
8 Valmiera 26 8 3 15 39:53 27
9 Spartaks Jurmala 2 26 7 5 14 48:71 26
10 Rezekne 25 8 1 16 49:57 25
11 FK Metta 2 26 7 3 16 33:52 24
12 FK Auda Riga 26 6 3 17 36:51 21
13 Tukums 2000 26 4 1 21 28:116 13
14 Jelgava 2 26 3 2 21 29:87 11
Promotion - Virslīga 2013 (Main)
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