Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2019

FK Karosta

4 - 1

LDZ Cargo/DFA

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Korsakovs J.

14'

Dobelis N.

52'

Kolcovs P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Karosta in this Latvian Cup 2019 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

FK Karosta

15%

Draws

55%

LDZ Cargo/DFA

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: LDZ Cargo/DFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to FK Karosta lately — more wins on the board than LDZ Cargo/DFA.
Win probability leans LDZ Cargo/DFA's way, sitting at 90%.
FK Karosta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor FK Karosta, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 89%

Over 3.5 Goals 75%

Over 4.5 Goals 34%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

FK Karosta Clean Sheet 10%

LDZ Cargo/DFA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Karosta	LDZ Cargo/DFA
Matches Played	20	4
Wins	14	3
Draws	0	0
Losses	6	1
Goals Scored	2.85	4
Goals Conceded	1.9	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2019 Latvian Cup

FK Karosta vs LDZ Cargo/DFA

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Karosta Compare

Top Goalscorer Korsakovs J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Dobelis N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

LDZ Cargo/DFA Compare

Top Goalscorer Macuks A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.62

Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Karosta 10 / 100

LDZ Cargo/DFA 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Karosta LDZ Cargo/DFA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDZ Cargo/DFA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:3

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Karosta found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (19 games).

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: LDZ Cargo/DFA conceded in 50% of 4 recent games.

FK Karosta went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Karosta VS LDZ Cargo/DFA

3.25 Goals Scored 4

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 100%

75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Karosta

(Home)

27 Nov

Dinamo Riga

2 : 1

FK Karosta

20 Nov

FK Karosta

4 : 2

Dinamo Riga

17 Jul

Albatroz

5 : 1

FK Karosta

04 Jul

Plavinas

0 : 1

FK Karosta

06 Sept

Grobina

3 : 0

FK Karosta

Page 1 of 4

LDZ Cargo/DFA

(Away)

17 Jul

FK Karosta

4 : 1

LDZ Cargo/DFA

30 Jun

LDZ Cargo/DFA

6 : 0

FK Alberts

19 Jun

Aliance

1 : 2

LDZ Cargo/DFA

25 May

LDZ Cargo/DFA

7 : 0

Monarhs

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

RFS -

TBD -

Valmiera -

FK Smiltene -

TBD -

Ghetto / Gvatar -

Nikers -

TBD -

Livani -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Tukums 2000 -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Keiko Jekabpils -

TBD -

DSVK Traktors 1

Krimulda 3

TBD -

Ventspils -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Rezekne -

Kalupe 2

AFA Olaine 1

TBD -

New Project -

TBD -

Riga FC -

FK Karosta 3

Riga United 1

TBD -

FK Madona Kvarcs -

Lubana -

TBD -

Tente -

FK Alberts -

TBD -

Lielupe -

Aliance 1

Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 0

Monarhs 0

LDZ Cargo/DFA 7

Alberts JDFS -

TBD -

Dinamo Riga -

Albatroz -

TBD -

Grobina -

Salaspils FK 4

Fk Jurnieks Riga 1

Jurmalas 1

Jauniba / Upesciems 2

Marupe -

TBD -

FK Limbazi 2

Caramba 8

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

Spartaks Jurmala -

FK Metta -

TBD -

Jelgava -

1/32-finals

RFS -

TBD -

Valmiera -

FK Smiltene 3

Ghetto / Gvatar 0

Nikers 1

Livani 5

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Tukums 2000 5

FK Auda Riga 1

Keiko Jekabpils 2

Krimulda 3

TBD -

Ventspils -

Super Nova 4

Rezekne 3

Kalupe 0

New Project 1

TBD -

Riga FC -

FK Karosta 8

FK Madona Kvarcs 1

Lubana 2

Tente 6

FK Alberts 2

Lielupe 1

Aliance 1

LDZ Cargo/DFA 2

Alberts JDFS 3

Dinamo Riga 1

Albatroz 1

Grobina 2

Salaspils FK 3

Jauniba / Upesciems 0

Marupe 3

Caramba 5

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

Spartaks Jurmala -

FK Metta -

TBD -

Jelgava -

1/16-finals

RFS -

TBD -

Valmiera -

FK Smiltene 7

Livani 0

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Tukums 2000 9

Krimulda 1

TBD -

Ventspils -

Super Nova 2

New Project 1

TBD -

Riga FC -

FK Karosta 1

Tente 0

FK Alberts 0

LDZ Cargo/DFA 6

Alberts JDFS 4

Grobina 2

Salaspils FK 0

Caramba 1

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

Spartaks Jurmala -

FK Metta -

TBD -

Jelgava -

1/8-finals

RFS 2

Valmiera 1

FK Smiltene 0

FK Liepaja 4

Tukums 2000 4

Ventspils 1

Super Nova 0

Riga FC 6

FK Karosta 4

LDZ Cargo/DFA 1

Alberts JDFS 0

Caramba 1

BFC Daugavpils 1

Spartaks Jurmala 0

FK Metta 0

Jelgava 1

Quarter-finals

RFS 2

FK Liepaja 1

Tukums 2000 0

Riga FC 4

FK Karosta 2

Caramba 1

BFC Daugavpils 1

Jelgava 2

Semi-finals

RFS 3

Riga FC 1

FK Karosta 0

Jelgava 5

Final

RFS 3

Jelgava 2

FK Karosta vs LDZ Cargo/DFA

Latvia

FK Karosta

LDZ Cargo/DFA

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

FK Karosta Compare

LDZ Cargo/DFA Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

FK Karosta

LDZ Cargo/DFA

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA