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FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs BFA Vilnius Prediction & H2H Stats

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Jurevicius Z.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 and BFA Vilnius finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BFA Vilnius.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
20%
Draws
38%
BFA Vilnius
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and BFA Vilnius come out ahead of FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 taking it.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and BFA Vilnius have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 11%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 BFA Vilnius
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 1 5
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs BFA Vilnius
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs BFA Vilnius
1:2
Mar 28, 2025 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2:0
Oct 26, 2024 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs BFA Vilnius
2:1
Jun 29, 2024 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

BFA Vilnius Compare

Top Goalscorer Jurevicius Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 35 / 100
BFA Vilnius 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 BFA Vilnius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: BFA Vilnius conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 VS BFA Vilnius
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

(Home)
02 Oct
FK Minija
5 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 2
Garliava
12 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Ekranas
04 Sept
BE1 NFA
1 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
29 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 0
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Page 1 of 6

BFA Vilnius

(Away)
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
BFA Vilnius
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3
BFA Vilnius
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2
BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 25 11 7 7 35:25 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Garliava 25 8 4 13 31:28 28
11 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 25 7 1 17 23:43 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)