Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs FK Babrungas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Kayode O.
49' Event
Skirmantas M.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 and FK Babrungas finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Babrungas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
15%
Draws
54%
FK Babrungas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Babrungas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Babrungas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FK Babrungas are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FK Babrungas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 14%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 FK Babrungas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 22
Draws 2 4
Losses 20 4
Goals Scored 1.03 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.86 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs FK Babrungas
0:2
Jun 24, 2026 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs FK Babrungas
1:2
Jun 12, 2025 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3:1
Aug 9, 2024 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

FK Babrungas Compare

Top Goalscorer Kayode O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skirmantas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 15 / 100
FK Babrungas 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 FK Babrungas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Babrungas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: FK Babrungas conceded in 40% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 VS FK Babrungas
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

(Home)
09 Oct
Siauliai 2
3 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
02 Oct
FK Minija
5 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 2
Garliava
12 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Ekranas
04 Sept
BE1 NFA
1 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Page 1 of 6

FK Babrungas

(Away)
10 Oct
FK Babrungas
2 : 0
Jonava
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2
FK Atmosfera
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 26 20 4 2 45:11 64
3 BE1 NFA 25 16 3 6 46:26 51
4 Zalgiris 2 26 14 4 8 40:33 46
5 Neptunas 26 14 2 10 33:31 44
6 BFA Vilnius 26 13 4 9 40:37 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 26 11 8 7 37:27 41
9 FK Atmosfera 25 8 7 10 37:33 31
10 Garliava 26 8 5 13 31:28 29
11 Jonava 26 7 6 13 28:35 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 26 7 2 17 26:46 23
13 Transinvest 2 26 6 4 16 30:59 22
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 26 7 1 18 27:59 22
15 Siauliai 2 26 4 6 16 30:59 18
16 Ekranas 26 4 3 19 26:59 15
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)