Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Garliava

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Da Cruz C.
67' Event
Pastukas J.
70' Event
Okechukwu V.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 and Garliava finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Kauno Zalgiris 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
15%
Draws
0%
Garliava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 haven't matched Garliava's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Garliava Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Garliava
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 1 5
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Garliava
3:2
May 15, 2026 I Lyga
Garliava vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3:0
Nov 8, 2024 I Lyga
Garliava vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0:4
Jun 21, 2024 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Garliava
2:2
Oct 13, 2023 I Lyga
Garliava vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Okechukwu V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gambo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Garliava Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Cruz C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pastukas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 85 / 100
Garliava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Garliava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Away concern: Garliava has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Garliava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 VS Garliava
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

(Home)
19 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 2
Garliava
12 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Ekranas
04 Sept
BE1 NFA
1 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
29 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 0
Hegelmann Litauen 2
14 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Jonava
Page 1 of 7

Garliava

(Away)
19 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 2
Garliava
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3
BFA Vilnius
05 Sept
Ekranas
1 : 0
Garliava
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
21 Aug
BE1 NFA
2 : 0
Garliava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 24 21 1 2 63:13 64
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 24 11 7 6 34:23 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
11 Garliava 24 7 4 13 29:27 25
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 24 7 1 16 23:38 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)