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Stadium Background

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Siauliai 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 play Siauliai 2 in the I Lyga. It looks like a close match. Recently, FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. Siauliai 2 averaged 1.39 goals scored and 2.19 conceded. In past meetings, FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 won 3, Siauliai 2 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 and 1.38 for Siauliai 2. This points to a FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
15%
Draws
41%
Siauliai 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 picked up more points recently compared to Siauliai 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 17%
Siauliai 2 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Siauliai 2
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 1.16 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Siauliai 2
2:0
Aug 29, 2025 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
1:2
May 3, 2025 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Siauliai 2
5:2
Oct 21, 2024 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Siauliai 2
0:5
Jun 3, 2024 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruzas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pocius V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Siauliai 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 43 / 100
Siauliai 2 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Siauliai 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 attacking → ← attacking Siauliai 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Siauliai 2 let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Siauliai 2 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 29
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FK Minija15131139:940
2FK Babrungas15123026:439
3BE1 NFA15102328:1532
4Neptunas1591520:1728
5Tauras Taurage1591527:1628
6Dainava Alytus1583426:1527
7Garliava1564522:1422
8BFA Vilnius1571718:2422
9FK Atmosfera1563623:1721
10Zalgiris 21553721:2518
11Jonava1545618:2017
12Transinvest 21542913:3614
13Hegelmann Litauen 215411016:3213
14Ekranas15211215:297
15FK Kauno Zalgiris 21521127:247
16Siauliai 215141013:357