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FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Atlantas Prediction & H2H Stats

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Cocirla M.
25'
Petkov D.
52'
Petkov D.

AI Match Summary

The A Lyga 2019 game between FK Kauno Zalgiris and Atlantas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Kauno Zalgiris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
15%
Draws
0%
Atlantas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Kauno Zalgiris come out ahead of Atlantas on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FK Kauno Zalgiris's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 20%
Atlantas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris Atlantas
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 10 4
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.55 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.85 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2019 TOPLYGA
Atlantas vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:2
Aug 31, 2019 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Atlantas
1:0
Jun 22, 2019 TOPLYGA
Atlantas vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:1
Apr 27, 2019 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Atlantas
2:1
Mar 2, 2019 TOPLYGA
Atlantas vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kauno Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Bushman Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Atlantas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 85 / 100
Atlantas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris Atlantas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlantas let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Atlantas lost 5 of their last 5 games.

FK Kauno Zalgiris scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FK Kauno Zalgiris VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kauno Zalgiris

(Home)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
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Atlantas

(Away)
20 Jun
Utenis
2 : 1
Atlantas
27 Nov
Atlantas
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
22 Nov
Zalgiris
5 : 0
Atlantas
08 Nov
Atlantas
1 : 4
FK Panevezys
04 Nov
Riteriai
5 : 2
Atlantas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 28 25 0 3 74:15 75
2 Zalgiris 28 21 2 5 67:22 65
3 Riteriai 28 13 7 8 44:29 46
4 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 48:39 44
5 FK Panevezys 28 8 7 13 41:53 31
6 Atlantas 28 7 5 16 26:53 26
7 Palanga 28 6 1 21 29:70 19
8 FC Stumbras 28 4 3 21 12:60 15
Relegation - A Lyga 2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)