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FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga Prediction & H2H Stats

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Darius and Girėnas Stadium, Kaunas
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Match Events

17'
Tolordava A.
20'
Sub
Ikaunieks D. In: Hernandez A.
Out: Ikaunieks D.
35'
Leo Ribeiro

AI Match Summary

Banga in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Banga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
20%
Draws
24%
Banga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris have won more games recently than Banga.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on FK Kauno Zalgiris taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 18%
Banga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris Banga
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.67 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 TOPLYGA
Banga vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:0
Jun 17, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga
0:1
May 1, 2026 TOPLYGA
Banga vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
2:2
Feb 28, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kauno Zalgiris Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Banga Compare

Top Goalscorer Filipavicius R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 85 / 100
Banga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris Banga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Kauno Zalgiris scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Banga conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

FK Kauno Zalgiris went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FK Kauno Zalgiris VS Banga
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kauno Zalgiris

(Home)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
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Banga

(Away)
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
14 Sept
Banga
1 : 3
Transinvest
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
30 Aug
Banga
0 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris
23 Aug
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Banga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)