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FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Darius and Girėnas Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ourega F.
Assist: Pavlovic D.
3'
Karashima Y.
34' Event
Benchaib A.
Assist: Burba M.

AI Match Summary

FK Kauno Zalgiris host Dziugas Telsiai in the TOPLYGA. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. FK Kauno Zalgiris have averaged 1 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Dziugas Telsiai's 1.88 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor FK Kauno Zalgiris slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 3, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.38) back FK Kauno Zalgiris to edge this. FK Kauno Zalgiris in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
6%
Draws
4%
Dziugas Telsiai
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Dziugas Telsiai.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for FK Kauno Zalgiris.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in TOPLYGA provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 17%
Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris Dziugas Telsiai
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:0
May 5, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai
2:2
Mar 7, 2026 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kauno Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Ourega F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benchaib A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Dziugas Telsiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Zevzikovas D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sane B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 84 / 100
Dziugas Telsiai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris Dziugas Telsiai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Kauno Zalgiris scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Dziugas Telsiai let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

FK Kauno Zalgiris went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Dziugas Telsiai lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Kauno Zalgiris VS Dziugas Telsiai
1 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Kauno Zalgiris1987434:1531
2Banga1986522:1430
3Suduva1979321:1630
4Dziugas Telsiai1986528:2230
5Transinvest1985628:2529
6Zalgiris1984727:2128
7FC Hegelmann19310620:2919
8FK Panevezys20541118:3719
9FA Siauliai19271018:3713
10Riteriai00000:00