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FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys Prediction & H2H Stats

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Darius and Girėnas Stadium, Kaunas
FK Kauno Zalgiris Logo

FK Kauno Zalgiris

3 - 0
FT
FK Panevezys Logo

FK Panevezys

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Renan Oliveira
Assist: Konatar M.
23' Event
Benchaib A.
Assist: Burba M.
28'
Balsys D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Kauno Zalgiris in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Kauno Zalgiris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
15%
Draws
42%
FK Panevezys
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris have won more games recently than FK Panevezys.
  • Win probability leans FK Kauno Zalgiris's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 20%
FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris FK Panevezys
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.66 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:1
Jul 11, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
3:0
May 10, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:1
Mar 10, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
4:0
Feb 16, 2026 Super Cup
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kauno Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Renan Oliveira
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benchaib A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FK Panevezys Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 58 / 100
FK Panevezys 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris FK Panevezys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Kauno Zalgiris scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

FK Panevezys's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

FK Kauno Zalgiris has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Kauno Zalgiris VS FK Panevezys
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kauno Zalgiris

(Home)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
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FK Panevezys

(Away)
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
07 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 3
FK Panevezys
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
30 Aug
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
Zalgiris
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)