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Stadium Background

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Darius and Girėnas Stadium, Kaunas
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Renan Oliveira
Assist: Konatar M.
23' Event
Benchaib A.
Assist: Burba M.
28'
Balsys D.

AI Match Summary

FK Kauno Zalgiris in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Kauno Zalgiris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
6%
Draws
4%
FK Panevezys
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris have won more games recently than FK Panevezys.
  • Win probability leans FK Kauno Zalgiris's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 20%
FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris FK Panevezys
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
3:0
May 10, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:1
Mar 10, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
4:0
Feb 16, 2026 Super Cup
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kauno Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Renan Oliveira
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benchaib A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FK Panevezys Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 85 / 100
FK Panevezys 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris FK Panevezys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Kauno Zalgiris scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: FK Kauno Zalgiris stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

FK Panevezys has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

FK Kauno Zalgiris VS FK Panevezys
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kauno Zalgiris

(Home)
18 Jul
FK Kauno Zalgiris
4 : 0
FA Siauliai
14 Jul
Drita
2 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris
11 Jul
FK Kauno Zalgiris
3 : 0
FK Panevezys
07 Jul
FK Kauno Zalgiris
1 : 1
Drita
03 Jul
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris
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FK Panevezys

(Away)
11 Jul
FK Kauno Zalgiris
3 : 0
FK Panevezys
04 Jul
FK Panevezys
1 : 1
FC Hegelmann
29 Jun
FK Panevezys
1 : 2
Suduva
23 Jun
FK Minija
2 : 1
FK Panevezys
20 Jun
FK Panevezys
3 : 2
FA Siauliai
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Kauno Zalgiris2097438:1534
2Dziugas Telsiai2096529:2233
3Zalgiris2094730:2231
4Banga2086622:1530
5Suduva1979321:1630
6Transinvest2085729:2829
7FC Hegelmann19310620:2919
8FK Panevezys20541118:3719
9FA Siauliai20271118:4113
10Riteriai00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)